Aberdeen
Investment Analysis

Aberdeen, SD
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

Share:
62
Investment Score
Hold
Cap Rate (Est.)
2.1%
Gross Yield
3.5%
P/R Ratio
20.6x
YoY Growth
+5.2%
Median Home Price
$257,500
Average Rent (1BR)
$760/mo
Median Income
$63,715
Population
28,297

Investment Breakdown

38
Value Score
100
Growth Score
60
Safety Score
61
Afford Score

Aberdeen has a price-to-rent ratio of 20.6x, which indicates renting and buying are roughly equal.

The estimated cap rate of 2.1% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of +5.2% shows strong appreciation momentum.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $760
Annual Gross $9,120

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$322
Insurance (~0.5%) -$107
Maintenance (~1%) -$215
Est. Net Cash Flow $116/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Aberdeen Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$232K2027$238Kโ–ฒ 2.5%2028$246Kโ–ฒ 6.1%20232024Now
$258K$196K
Current
$258K
2026
Projected
$238K
โ†‘ 2.5% by 2027
Projected
$246K
โ†‘ 6.1% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+5.2%
Confidence:High
Rยฒ:0.92
โ–ผ

Looking ahead to the 2026-2028 period, the Aberdeen housing market forecast suggests a period of moderated growth rather than a sharp correction. The current median home price of $231,720 has seen a healthy 6.0% year-over-year increase, supported by a stable local economy tied to agriculture and manufacturing. However, the Days on Market of 63 indicates that while properties are moving, they are not flying off the shelves as they might in larger metropolitan areas. The 5-Year CAGR of 5.3% shows consistent, sustainable appreciation, suggesting that the market is unlikely to see a dramatic downturn. The question of will Aberdeen home prices drop can be answered with a qualified no; instead, expect price growth to align more closely with historical norms, likely in the 2-4% range annually.

The affordability constraints are evident when analyzing the rental versus ownership landscape. The Price-to-Rent Ratio stands at 22.6x, significantly higher than the national avg: 18x, and the median rent is relatively low at $760/mo. This dynamic supports the current Buy/Rent Verdict: RENT recommendation, as the financial math favors renting over buying in the short term for residents. However, the Risk Grade: A- indicates that Aberdeen remains a fundamentally sound market for long-term investors who prioritize stability over rapid gains. As we move into Aberdeen real estate Aberdeen 2027, the market's trajectory will likely depend on local workforce development and infrastructure projects. While the Market Temperature of 56/100 signals a balanced environment, the lack of intense buyer competition provides a window for strategic purchasing without the pressure of bidding wars.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
2.4%
5yr CAGR
+5.2%

Job Market

Unemployment 2.2%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +1.6%

Healthcare

74
Score
Good

Risk Factors

Low Risk Profile

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 96.8%
Months Supply 4.9
Price Drops 19%
Gone in 2 Wks 12%

Market Position

Affordability Below Avg
Safety Average

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Aberdeen.

Total ROI
5%
on $51,500 invested
Annual ROI
1.1%
compounded
Total Return
$2,775
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$1,265
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y167kY283kY3101kY4119kY5138k
Appreciation
$74,600
Cash Flow
-$71,825
Final Equity
$138,172

* Estimates based on 5.2% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Aberdeen

Property

Purchase Price$257,500
Monthly Rent$760
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$1,177
Monthly Cash Flow
-$14,126/ year
-27.4%
Cash-on-Cash
0.6%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$760
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$1,302
โˆ’ Property Tax$258
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$215
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$38
= Net Cash Flow-$1,177

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$51,500
Loan Amount
$206,000
Total Monthly Expenses
$1,937
Gross Yield
3.5%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026