Anaconda-Deer Lodge County
Investment Analysis

Anaconda-Deer Lodge County, MT
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

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68
Investment Score
Strong Buy
Cap Rate (Est.)
2.8%
Gross Yield
4.6%
P/R Ratio
0.0x
YoY Growth
+0.0%
Median Home Price
$209,700
Average Rent (1BR)
$806/mo
Median Income
$49,533
Population
9,512

Investment Breakdown

100
Value Score
50
Growth Score
53
Safety Score
47
Afford Score

Anaconda-Deer Lodge County has a price-to-rent ratio of 0.0x, which indicates buying is significantly better than renting.

The estimated cap rate of 2.8% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of +0.0% suggests a cooling market.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $806
Annual Gross $9,672

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$262
Insurance (~0.5%) -$87
Maintenance (~1%) -$175
Est. Net Cash Flow $282/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Anaconda-Deer Lodge County Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$280K2027$320Kโ–ฒ 14.1%2028$342Kโ–ฒ 22.0%20232024Now
$359K$224K
Current
$210K
2026
Projected
$320K
โ†‘ 14.1% by 2027
Projected
$342K
โ†‘ 22.0% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+11.9%
Confidence:High
Rยฒ:0.86
โ–ผ

Looking ahead to the 2026-2028 period, the Anaconda-Deer Lodge County housing market forecast suggests a period of stabilization rather than dramatic growth. After a remarkable 79.1% price surge over the last five years, the market has hit a plateau, with the most recent year-over-year change at 0.0%. The current median home price of $209,700 appears to be finding a floor, supported by a relatively brisk 35 days on market, indicating sustained buyer interest despite higher interest rates. However, the local economy, which has historically leaned on legacy industry and public sector jobs, may not support the rapid appreciation seen previously. Affordability is becoming a key constraint, which will likely temper price growth in the near term.

When asking "will Anaconda-Deer Lodge County home prices drop," the data points to a soft landing rather than a sharp correction. The price-to-rent ratio of 21.7x is notably above the national average of 18x, suggesting that buying remains stretched relative to the $806 median rent, which could push potential buyers toward the rental market. This dynamic, coupled with a "C" risk grade and a "Market Temperature" score of 50/100, signals a balanced but cautious environment. For those interested in Anaconda-Deer Lodge County real estate Anaconda-Deer Lodge County 2027, the outlook hinges on broader economic stability and local job growth. While a significant downturn seems unlikely given the modest inventory and steady demand, the era of double-digit annual gains is likely over.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
1.9%
5yr CAGR
+11.9%

Job Market

Unemployment 2.6%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +2.0%

Healthcare

71
Score
Good

Risk Factors

Low Inventory

Market Position

Affordability Average
Safety Average

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Anaconda-Deer Lodge County.

Total ROI
-112%
on $41,940 invested
Annual ROI
NaN%
compounded
Total Return
-$46,829
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$852
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y144kY245kY347kY450kY552k
Appreciation
$0
Cash Flow
-$46,829
Final Equity
$51,771

* Estimates based on 0.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Anaconda-Deer Lodge County

Property

Purchase Price$209,700
Monthly Rent$806
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$804
Monthly Cash Flow
-$9,649/ year
-23.0%
Cash-on-Cash
1.5%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$806
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$1,060
โˆ’ Property Tax$210
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$175
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$40
= Net Cash Flow-$804

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$41,940
Loan Amount
$167,760
Total Monthly Expenses
$1,610
Gross Yield
4.6%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026