Auburn
Investment Analysis

Auburn, WA
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

Share:
43
Investment Score
Hold
Cap Rate (Est.)
2.1%
Gross Yield
3.5%
P/R Ratio
21.2x
YoY Growth
-1.0%
Median Home Price
$635,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$1,864/mo
Median Income
$92,824
Population
84,887

Investment Breakdown

36
Value Score
40
Growth Score
63
Safety Score
37
Afford Score

Auburn has a price-to-rent ratio of 21.2x, which indicates renting and buying are roughly equal.

The estimated cap rate of 2.1% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of -1.0% suggests a cooling market.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $1,864
Annual Gross $22,368

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$794
Insurance (~0.5%) -$265
Maintenance (~1%) -$529
Est. Net Cash Flow $277/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Auburn Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$596K2027$628Kโ–ฒ 5.3%2028$644Kโ–ฒ 8.1%20232024Now
$676K$529K
Current
$635K
2026
Projected
$628K
โ†‘ 5.3% by 2027
Projected
$644K
โ†‘ 8.1% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+4.9%
Confidence:Moderate
Rยฒ:0.56
โ–ผ

For anyone mapping out an Auburn housing market forecast through 2028, the data paints a picture of a market settling into a more sustainable groove. With a median home price of $595,944 and a recent YoY price change of -1.1%, the feverish appreciation of the past few years is cooling, a trend expected to continue as affordability constraints bite. The price-to-rent ratio stands at a lofty 23.7x, significantly above the 18x national average, signaling that buying remains a stretch for many. This metric, combined with a market temperature of 64/100, suggests a balanced but cautious environment. While Auburn's 5-year price change of 29.4% (a 5.2% CAGR) shows strong underlying demand, the current slowdown points to a period of consolidation rather than a sharp correction.

When asking will Auburn home prices drop, the answer seems to be a gentle moderation rather than a collapse. The city's risk grade of A and a tight 36 days on market indicate a fundamentally healthy market with sustained buyer interest, but high interest rates and the area's affordability challenges will likely cap aggressive gains. Local economic drivers, including proximity to the Port of Tacoma and ongoing development in the Auburn-Enumclaw corridor, will provide a steady floor for values. However, the buy/rent verdict of RENT highlights that for many, the math currently favors leasing over owning. Looking toward Auburn real estate Auburn 2027, the forecast is for single-digit annual appreciation as the market finds a new equilibrium, balancing regional job growth with the persistent pressure of affordability for everyday residents.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
2.2%
5yr CAGR
+4.9%

Job Market

Unemployment 4.2%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +2.0%

Healthcare

80
Score
Excellent

Risk Factors

Declining Prices

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 99.9%
Months Supply 2.1
Price Drops 32%
Gone in 2 Wks 32%

Market Position

Affordability Average
Safety Average

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Auburn.

Total ROI
-140%
on $127,000 invested
Annual ROI
NaN%
compounded
Total Return
-$177,755
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$3,128
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y1132kY2138kY3144kY4150kY5157k
Appreciation
$0
Cash Flow
-$177,755
Final Equity
$156,770

* Estimates based on 0.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Auburn

Property

Purchase Price$635,000
Monthly Rent$1,864
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$2,729
Monthly Cash Flow
-$32,751/ year
-25.8%
Cash-on-Cash
0.9%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$1,864
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$3,211
โˆ’ Property Tax$635
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$529
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$93
= Net Cash Flow-$2,729

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$127,000
Loan Amount
$508,000
Total Monthly Expenses
$4,593
Gross Yield
3.5%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026