Baltimore
Investment Analysis

Baltimore, MD
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

Share:
47
Investment Score
Strong Buy
Cap Rate (Est.)
4.7%
Gross Yield
7.8%
P/R Ratio
7.9x
YoY Growth
-0.7%
Median Home Price
$242,250
Average Rent (1BR)
$1,582/mo
Median Income
$59,579
Population
565,239

Investment Breakdown

76
Value Score
43
Growth Score
0
Safety Score
47
Afford Score

Baltimore has a price-to-rent ratio of 7.9x, which indicates buying is significantly better than renting.

The estimated cap rate of 4.7% is around the national average.

Year-over-year price growth of -0.7% suggests a cooling market.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $1,582
Annual Gross $18,984

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$303
Insurance (~0.5%) -$101
Maintenance (~1%) -$202
Est. Net Cash Flow $976/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Baltimore Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$185K2027$196Kโ–ฒ 5.8%2028$201Kโ–ฒ 8.3%20232024Now
$211K$168K
Current
$242K
2026
Projected
$196K
โ†‘ 5.8% by 2027
Projected
$201K
โ†‘ 8.3% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+3.4%
Confidence:Moderate
Rยฒ:0.78
โ–ผ

Our Baltimore housing market forecast for 2026-2028 points toward a period of steady, fundamentals-driven growth rather than explosive gains. With a current median home price of $185,223, the city remains one of the nation's most affordable major markets, a key advantage as broader economic uncertainty persists. The recent -1.2% YoY price change signals a cooling from the post-pandemic boom, but this should be viewed as a normalization. The market's 63/100 temperature rating and a 5-year CAGR of 3.7% suggest sustainable appreciation ahead. For those wondering will Baltimore home prices drop significantly, the data suggests otherwise; instead, expect modest fluctuations as the market finds a new equilibrium.

A critical factor supporting prices is the city's exceptional affordability, highlighted by a price-to-rent ratio of just 8.8xโ€”less than half the national average. This dynamic makes buying a compelling financial decision, reinforcing the "BUY" verdict and likely keeping buyer demand consistent, especially among first-time homebuyers and investors. The 41 days on market indicates properties are still moving at a healthy pace. Looking toward Baltimore real estate Baltimore 2027, growth will be underpinned by ongoing revitalization efforts in key neighborhoods and the stability of major employment sectors like healthcare and education. However, the path forward isn't without challenges; rising property taxes and the need for continued economic development in certain areas could temper appreciation. Overall, Baltimore appears positioned for moderate, stable growth, making it a solid long-term play rather than a short-term speculative bet.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
6.0%
5yr CAGR
+3.4%

Job Market

Unemployment 3.0%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +1.8%

Healthcare

83
Score
Excellent

Risk Factors

High Crime Area
Declining Prices

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 100.5%
Months Supply 4.9
Price Drops 26%
Gone in 2 Wks 24%

Market Position

Affordability Average
Safety Higher Risk

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Baltimore.

Total ROI
-28%
on $48,450 invested
Annual ROI
-6.3%
compounded
Total Return
-$13,522
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$366
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y150kY253kY355kY457kY560k
Appreciation
$0
Cash Flow
-$13,522
Final Equity
$59,807

* Estimates based on 0.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Baltimore

Property

Purchase Price$242,250
Monthly Rent$1,582
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$291
Monthly Cash Flow
-$3,494/ year
-7.2%
Cash-on-Cash
4.6%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$1,582
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$1,225
โˆ’ Property Tax$242
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$202
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$79
= Net Cash Flow-$291

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$48,450
Loan Amount
$193,800
Total Monthly Expenses
$1,873
Gross Yield
7.8%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026