Bellevue
Investment Analysis

Bellevue, WA
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

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34
Investment Score
Rent
Cap Rate (Est.)
1.1%
Gross Yield
1.8%
P/R Ratio
45.6x
YoY Growth
-1.1%
Median Home Price
$1,535,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$2,269/mo
Median Income
$158,253
Population
151,579

Investment Breakdown

0
Value Score
39
Growth Score
82
Safety Score
37
Afford Score

Bellevue has a price-to-rent ratio of 45.6x, which indicates renting is more favorable than buying.

The estimated cap rate of 1.1% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of -1.1% suggests a cooling market.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $2,269
Annual Gross $27,228

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$1,919
Insurance (~0.5%) -$640
Maintenance (~1%) -$1,279
Est. Net Cash Flow -$1,569/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Bellevue Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$1M2027$2Mโ–ฒ 7.5%2028$2Mโ–ฒ 11.8%20232024Now
$2M$1M
Current
$2M
2026
Projected
$2M
โ†‘ 7.5% by 2027
Projected
$2M
โ†‘ 11.8% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+7.1%
Confidence:Moderate
Rยฒ:0.53
โ–ผ

For anyone asking "will Bellevue home prices drop," the current data suggests a cooling but not a collapse. The median home price of $1,457,346 has seen a slight YoY decline of -2.2%, a necessary correction after a robust 42.7% five-year gain. This moderation is reflected in the market temperature score of 64/100, indicating a shift toward balance. While the tech sector's stability remains a core driver, affordability constraints are capping further explosive growth. This nuanced environment is central to any comprehensive Bellevue housing market forecast for the coming years.

The extreme price-to-rent ratio of 49.4x heavily supports the "RENT" verdict for now, as carrying costs significantly outpace rental expenses. With a risk grade of B+ and a five-year CAGR of 7.2%, the market is maturing. For those eyeing Bellevue real estate Bellevue 2027 investments, the key will be navigating affordability challenges and the potential for interest rate fluctuations. Inventory remains tight, with homes spending a median of only 36 days on market, signaling that while price growth may be slowing, demand for prime locations persists.

Looking toward 2028, the forecast points toward a period of stabilization rather than significant downturn. Local economic fundamentals, including sustained strength in the tech and cloud computing sectors, should provide a floor for prices. However, affordability will remain a central theme, likely capping dramatic appreciation. The 7.2% five-year CAGR demonstrates strong underlying value, but the recent negative YoY change signals a shift. The outlook is balanced: expect modest, single-digit growth as the market digests recent gains and aligns more closely with broader economic trends.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
1.1%
5yr CAGR
+7.1%

Job Market

Unemployment 4.2%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +2.0%

Healthcare

80
Score
Excellent

Risk Factors

Overvalued Market
Declining Prices

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 97.4%
Months Supply 3.3
Price Drops 20%
Gone in 2 Wks 60%

Market Position

Affordability Average
Safety Very Safe

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Bellevue.

Total ROI
-185%
on $307,000 invested
Annual ROI
NaN%
compounded
Total Return
-$569,139
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$9,688
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y1320kY2333kY3347kY4363kY5379k
Appreciation
$0
Cash Flow
-$569,139
Final Equity
$378,963

* Estimates based on 0.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Bellevue

Property

Purchase Price$1,535,000
Monthly Rent$2,269
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$8,545
Monthly Cash Flow
-$102,545/ year
-33.4%
Cash-on-Cash
-0.6%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$2,269
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$7,762
โˆ’ Property Tax$1,535
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$1,279
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$113
= Net Cash Flow-$8,545

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$307,000
Loan Amount
$1,228,000
Total Monthly Expenses
$10,814
Gross Yield
1.8%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026