Bismarck
Investment Analysis

Bismarck, ND
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

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53
Investment Score
Rent
Cap Rate (Est.)
2.0%
Gross Yield
3.4%
P/R Ratio
31.6x
YoY Growth
+5.2%
Median Home Price
$300,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$848/mo
Median Income
$75,846
Population
75,102

Investment Breakdown

5
Value Score
100
Growth Score
68
Safety Score
60
Afford Score

Bismarck has a price-to-rent ratio of 31.6x, which indicates renting is more favorable than buying.

The estimated cap rate of 2.0% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of +5.2% shows strong appreciation momentum.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $848
Annual Gross $10,176

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$375
Insurance (~0.5%) -$125
Maintenance (~1%) -$250
Est. Net Cash Flow $98/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Bismarck Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$359K2027$370Kโ–ฒ 3.1%2028$384Kโ–ฒ 7.1%20232024Now
$403K$300K
Current
$300K
2026
Projected
$370K
โ†‘ 3.1% by 2027
Projected
$384K
โ†‘ 7.1% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+5.4%
Confidence:High
Rยฒ:0.96
โ–ผ

For anyone asking "will Bismarck home prices drop," the current data suggests a plateau rather than a sharp correction. The median price sits at $358,712 with a stable 5.0% annual increase, but the 5-year CAGR of 5.4% indicates a maturing market. This Bismarck housing market forecast for 2026-2028 leans toward modest appreciation, likely in the 2-4% range annually, as inventory gradually improves from historically low levels. While the market temperature of 61/100 shows continued seller leverage, the extended 47 days on market signals a cooling from the frantic pace of previous years.

A critical factor in the Bismarck real estate Bismarck 2027 outlook is affordability pressure. The price-to-rent ratio of 33.2x (well above the national 18x average) and a median rent of just $848/mo make buying significantly less attractive than renting, supporting the "RENT" verdict. Local economic stability from state government and energy sectors provides a floor for prices, but the high ratio limits the buyer pool. Given the strong 30.3% five-year price surge and an "A" risk grade, the market is resilient but stretched. Expect balanced conditions where buyers gain slight leverage, but no crash looms.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
1.7%
5yr CAGR
+5.4%

Job Market

Unemployment 2.0%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +1.8%

Healthcare

75
Score
Good

Risk Factors

Overvalued Market

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 98.2%
Months Supply 5.0
Price Drops 18%
Gone in 2 Wks 34%

Market Position

Affordability Below Avg
Safety Average

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Bismarck.

Total ROI
1%
on $60,000 invested
Annual ROI
0.2%
compounded
Total Return
$532
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$1,509
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y178kY297kY3117kY4138kY5161k
Appreciation
$86,545
Cash Flow
-$86,013
Final Equity
$160,609

* Estimates based on 5.2% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Bismarck

Property

Purchase Price$300,000
Monthly Rent$848
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$1,386
Monthly Cash Flow
-$16,636/ year
-27.7%
Cash-on-Cash
0.5%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$848
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$1,517
โˆ’ Property Tax$300
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$250
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$42
= Net Cash Flow-$1,386

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$60,000
Loan Amount
$240,000
Total Monthly Expenses
$2,234
Gross Yield
3.4%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026