Cedar Park
Investment Analysis

Cedar Park, TX
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

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30
Investment Score
Rent
Cap Rate (Est.)
1.9%
Gross Yield
3.1%
P/R Ratio
25.3x
YoY Growth
-5.6%
Median Home Price
$469,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$1,220/mo
Median Income
$119,943
Population
78,969

Investment Breakdown

24
Value Score
0
Growth Score
55
Safety Score
52
Afford Score

Cedar Park has a price-to-rent ratio of 25.3x, which indicates renting is more favorable than buying.

The estimated cap rate of 1.9% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of -5.6% suggests a cooling market.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $1,220
Annual Gross $14,640

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$586
Insurance (~0.5%) -$195
Maintenance (~1%) -$391
Est. Net Cash Flow $48/mo

Price Forecast 2026–2028

🔮 Cedar Park Price Forecast 20262028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis · Statistical projection
➡️ Stable
PROJECTEDNOW$459K2027$466K 1.5%2028$455K 0.9%20232024Now
$536K$432K
Current
$469K
2026
Projected
$466K
1.5% by 2027
Projected
$455K
0.9% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+4.4%
Confidence:Low
R²:0.13

When evaluating the Cedar Park housing market forecast through 2028, the current data paints a picture of a market in transition. After a period of rapid appreciation, the median home price has settled at $459,038, reflecting a recent YoY price change of -5.3%. This cooling is a natural correction from the frothy post-pandemic surge, and it's reflected in the market's temperature score of 49/100. For potential buyers, the critical question of whether Cedar Park home prices will drop further is central to their decision. With a price-to-rent ratio of 27.9x—significantly higher than the national average—the financial scales currently tilt in favor of renting. The extended days on market, at 88 days, suggest that sellers no longer hold the decisive power they once did, giving buyers more room to negotiate.

Looking ahead to Cedar Park real estate in 2027 and 2028, the forecast is one of stabilization rather than dramatic shifts. The area's strong fundamentals, including its proximity to Austin's tech corridor and quality school districts, will continue to support demand and prevent a severe crash. However, affordability remains a significant headwind for many local households. The five-year CAGR of 4.4% is a more sustainable pace than the double-digit gains seen previously, and the risk grade of B+ indicates a fundamentally healthy, albeit softening, market. The five-year price range of $373,043 – $598,486 demonstrates underlying resilience. For the next couple of years, expect modest price fluctuations as the market finds a new equilibrium, with inventory levels and broader economic conditions acting as key drivers for the Cedar Park housing market forecast.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
1.9%
5yr CAGR
+4.4%

Job Market

Unemployment 4.0%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +3.2%

Healthcare

70
Score
Good

Risk Factors

Overvalued Market
Declining Prices

Market Activity

Source: Redfin · 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 96.8%
Months Supply 3.9
Price Drops 28%
Gone in 2 Wks 28%

Market Position

Affordability Below Avg
Safety Average

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Cedar Park.

Total ROI
-150%
on $93,800 invested
Annual ROI
NaN%
compounded
Total Return
-$141,057
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$2,460
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y198kY2102kY3106kY4111kY5116k
Appreciation
$0
Cash Flow
-$141,057
Final Equity
$115,787

* Estimates based on 0.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Cedar Park

Property

Purchase Price$469,000
Monthly Rent$1,220
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$2,197
Monthly Cash Flow
-$26,368/ year
-28.1%
Cash-on-Cash
0.4%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$1,220
− Mortgage (P&I)$2,372
− Property Tax$469
− Insurance$125
− Maintenance$391
− Vacancy Loss$61
= Net Cash Flow-$2,197

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$93,800
Loan Amount
$375,200
Total Monthly Expenses
$3,417
Gross Yield
3.1%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026