Dover
Investment Analysis

Dover, NH
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

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54
Investment Score
Hold
Cap Rate (Est.)
2.0%
Gross Yield
3.3%
P/R Ratio
23.1x
YoY Growth
+2.4%
Median Home Price
$555,829
Average Rent (1BR)
$1,506/mo
Median Income
$92,748
Population
33,070

Investment Breakdown

31
Value Score
74
Growth Score
85
Safety Score
38
Afford Score

Dover has a price-to-rent ratio of 23.1x, which indicates renting and buying are roughly equal.

The estimated cap rate of 2.0% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of +2.4% indicates stable market conditions.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $1,506
Annual Gross $18,072

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$695
Insurance (~0.5%) -$232
Maintenance (~1%) -$463
Est. Net Cash Flow $116/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Dover Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$522K2027$576Kโ–ฒ 10.3%2028$611Kโ–ฒ 17.1%20232024Now
$642K$413K
Current
$556K
2026
Projected
$576K
โ†‘ 10.3% by 2027
Projected
$611K
โ†‘ 17.1% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+8.3%
Confidence:High
Rยฒ:0.97
โ–ผ

Our Dover housing market forecast for 2026-2028 suggests a period of deceleration and consolidation rather than a sharp correction. While the 5-year price change of 51.3% and a CAGR of 8.5% highlight remarkable momentum, the immediate outlook points toward moderation. The current price-to-rent ratio of 25.7x significantly exceeds the national average of 18x, signaling stretched affordability that will likely temper demand. With days on market at a tight 20, sellers still hold leverage, but the 2.1% YoY price change indicates the rapid appreciation cycle is maturing. For those asking will Dover home prices drop, the data suggests a plateau is more probable than a decline, supported by the market's A risk grade and sustained, albeit slower, economic activity.

Local drivers will heavily influence the path for Dover real estate Dover 2027. The cityโ€™s proximity to the University of New Hampshire and its role as a commuter hub for the Greater Boston and Seacoast regions provide a stable employment base, but affordability is becoming a genuine barrier for new entrants. As the price range has expanded from $345,181 to $522,127 over five years, the "rent" verdict becomes increasingly relevant for those priced out of ownership. The market temperature of 69/100 remains healthy, yet the gap between rising rents ($1,506/mo) and flatlining affordability will likely push the market toward equilibrium. We expect inventory to remain constrained, preventing a crash, but the lack of accessible entry points will cap aggressive upside.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
1.9%
5yr CAGR
+8.3%

Job Market

Unemployment 2.5%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +1.0%

Healthcare

84
Score
Excellent

Risk Factors

Low Inventory

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 98.3%
Months Supply 2.9
Price Drops 8%
Gone in 2 Wks 36%

Market Position

Affordability Average
Safety Very Safe

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Dover.

Total ROI
-83%
on $111,166 invested
Annual ROI
-30%
compounded
Total Return
-$92,527
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$2,858
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y1129kY2148kY3167kY4187kY5208k
Appreciation
$70,896
Cash Flow
-$163,423
Final Equity
$208,120

* Estimates based on 2.4% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Dover

Property

Purchase Price$555,829
Monthly Rent$1,506
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$2,524
Monthly Cash Flow
-$30,287/ year
-27.2%
Cash-on-Cash
0.6%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$1,506
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$2,811
โˆ’ Property Tax$556
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$463
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$75
= Net Cash Flow-$2,524

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$111,166
Loan Amount
$444,663
Total Monthly Expenses
$4,030
Gross Yield
3.3%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026