Fargo
Investment Analysis

Fargo, ND
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

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54
Investment Score
Rent
Cap Rate (Est.)
2.0%
Gross Yield
3.3%
P/R Ratio
27.4x
YoY Growth
+4.0%
Median Home Price
$282,700
Average Rent (1BR)
$781/mo
Median Income
$61,422
Population
132,400

Investment Breakdown

18
Value Score
90
Growth Score
66
Safety Score
61
Afford Score

Fargo has a price-to-rent ratio of 27.4x, which indicates renting is more favorable than buying.

The estimated cap rate of 2.0% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of +4.0% indicates stable market conditions.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $781
Annual Gross $9,372

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$353
Insurance (~0.5%) -$118
Maintenance (~1%) -$236
Est. Net Cash Flow $74/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Fargo Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$309K2027$319Kโ–ฒ 3.2%2028$330Kโ–ฒ 6.8%20232024Now
$347K$264K
Current
$283K
2026
Projected
$319K
โ†‘ 3.2% by 2027
Projected
$330K
โ†‘ 6.8% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+4.8%
Confidence:High
Rยฒ:0.95
โ–ผ

Looking at the Fargo housing market forecast through 2028, the data suggests a period of stabilization rather than dramatic shifts. The current median home price of $309,018 reflects a steady climb, with a 5-year price change of 26.6% and a CAGR of 4.8%. However, the price-to-rent ratio sits at a lofty 29.9x, significantly above the national average of 18x, which signals that buying is expensive relative to renting. With days on market at 64, the pace is balanced, neither a frantic seller's market nor a stagnant one. For those asking will Fargo home prices drop, the answer likely lies in the city's economic fundamentals. Fargo's growth is tied to North Dakota's energy and agricultural sectors, alongside a stable university presence. If these drivers remain strong, prices should see modest appreciation, but the high price-to-rent ratio may cap significant gains.

For investors and residents evaluating Fargo real estate Fargo 2027, the affordability crunch is a key consideration. The median rent of $781/mo is notably low compared to the home price, creating a disconnect that favors renters in the short term. The "RENT" verdict and market temperature of 56/100 suggest a lukewarm environment for buyers seeking quick equity. While the risk grade of A- indicates a safe long-term bet, the immediate outlook points to a slower growth trajectory. Local factors like wage growth and housing inventory will be critical; if new construction keeps pace with demand without oversupplying the market, prices could hold steady. Ultimately, the Fargo market is poised for moderate, sustainable growth, making it a solid place for long-term homeownership rather than speculative flips.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
1.8%
5yr CAGR
+4.8%

Job Market

Unemployment 2.0%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +1.8%

Healthcare

75
Score
Good

Risk Factors

Overvalued Market

Market Position

Affordability Below Avg
Safety Average

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Fargo.

Total ROI
-37%
on $56,540 invested
Annual ROI
-8.7%
compounded
Total Return
-$20,768
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$1,439
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y170kY284kY399kY4115kY5131k
Appreciation
$61,413
Cash Flow
-$82,181
Final Equity
$131,207

* Estimates based on 4.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Fargo

Property

Purchase Price$282,700
Monthly Rent$781
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$1,331
Monthly Cash Flow
-$15,970/ year
-28.2%
Cash-on-Cash
0.4%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$781
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$1,429
โˆ’ Property Tax$283
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$236
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$39
= Net Cash Flow-$1,331

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$56,540
Loan Amount
$226,160
Total Monthly Expenses
$2,112
Gross Yield
3.3%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026