Federal Way
Investment Analysis

Federal Way, WA
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

Share:
40
Investment Score
Hold
Cap Rate (Est.)
2.2%
Gross Yield
3.7%
P/R Ratio
20.8x
YoY Growth
-1.6%
Median Home Price
$599,999
Average Rent (1BR)
$1,864/mo
Median Income
$81,997
Population
97,689

Investment Breakdown

38
Value Score
34
Growth Score
54
Safety Score
37
Afford Score

Federal Way has a price-to-rent ratio of 20.8x, which indicates renting and buying are roughly equal.

The estimated cap rate of 2.2% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of -1.6% suggests a cooling market.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $1,864
Annual Gross $22,368

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$750
Insurance (~0.5%) -$250
Maintenance (~1%) -$500
Est. Net Cash Flow $364/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Federal Way Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$582K2027$617Kโ–ฒ 6.0%2028$635Kโ–ฒ 9.0%20232024Now
$666K$517K
Current
$600K
2026
Projected
$617K
โ†‘ 6.0% by 2027
Projected
$635K
โ†‘ 9.0% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+4.8%
Confidence:Moderate
Rยฒ:0.62
โ–ผ

The Federal Way housing market forecast for 2026-2028 points toward a period of stabilization and modest growth, following a recent cooling phase. With a median home price of $582,067 and a recent YoY price change of -1.9%, the market is absorbing the higher interest rate environment of the early 2020s. The 5-year CAGR of 5.2% indicates that despite the recent dip, underlying value has held firm, supported by the region's relative affordability compared to Seattle proper. Key local factors like the ongoing expansion of the nearby manufacturing and aerospace sectors, alongside steady population growth in South King County, will likely provide a floor for prices. However, the high price-to-rent ratio of 23.1x suggests that buying remains a significant financial stretch relative to renting, which will temper demand from first-time buyers.

For prospective buyers and investors asking, will Federal Way home prices drop significantly? The data suggests not. Days on market sit at a healthy 25, and the Risk Grade of A signals a stable, low-volatility environment despite the market temperature cooling to 68/100. The "RENT" verdict is driven by the financial math of renting versus buying in the short term, but for long-term holders, the 5-year price range of $450,566 โ€“ $593,162 shows resilience. As we look toward Federal Way real estate Federal Way 2027, the narrative is less about explosive gains and more about sustainable appreciation. Growth in local infrastructure and amenities, combined with its strategic location between Seattle and Tacoma, should support demand. The forecast is balanced: while rapid appreciation is unlikely, a significant crash is also improbable given the low risk profile and consistent economic drivers of the South King County region.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
2.2%
5yr CAGR
+4.8%

Job Market

Unemployment 4.2%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +2.0%

Healthcare

80
Score
Excellent

Risk Factors

Declining Prices

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 98.7%
Months Supply 2.3
Price Drops 29%
Gone in 2 Wks 35%

Market Position

Affordability Average
Safety Average

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Federal Way.

Total ROI
-135%
on $120,000 invested
Annual ROI
NaN%
compounded
Total Return
-$161,552
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$2,858
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y1125kY2130kY3136kY4142kY5148k
Appreciation
$0
Cash Flow
-$161,552
Final Equity
$148,129

* Estimates based on 0.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Federal Way

Property

Purchase Price$599,999
Monthly Rent$1,864
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$2,488
Monthly Cash Flow
-$29,857/ year
-24.9%
Cash-on-Cash
1.1%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$1,864
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$3,034
โˆ’ Property Tax$600
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$500
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$93
= Net Cash Flow-$2,488

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$120,000
Loan Amount
$479,999
Total Monthly Expenses
$4,352
Gross Yield
3.7%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026