Gilbert
Investment Analysis

Gilbert, AZ
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

Share:
40
Investment Score
Rent
Cap Rate (Est.)
1.8%
Gross Yield
3.0%
P/R Ratio
26.5x
YoY Growth
-2.4%
Median Home Price
$579,250
Average Rent (1BR)
$1,424/mo
Median Income
$122,445
Population
275,408

Investment Breakdown

21
Value Score
26
Growth Score
88
Safety Score
45
Afford Score

Gilbert has a price-to-rent ratio of 26.5x, which indicates renting is more favorable than buying.

The estimated cap rate of 1.8% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of -2.4% suggests a cooling market.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $1,424
Annual Gross $17,088

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$724
Insurance (~0.5%) -$241
Maintenance (~1%) -$483
Est. Net Cash Flow -$24/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Gilbert Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$564K2027$606Kโ–ฒ 7.5%2028$620Kโ–ฒ 10.0%20232024Now
$652K$519K
Current
$579K
2026
Projected
$606K
โ†‘ 7.5% by 2027
Projected
$620K
โ†‘ 10.0% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+5.6%
Confidence:Low
Rยฒ:0.28
โ–ผ

Our Gilbert housing market forecast for 2026-2028 anticipates a period of stabilization and modest growth, diverging from the volatility of recent years. While the broader Arizona market has seen gains, Gilbert's current median home price of $563,938 and a slight YoY price change of -1.8% suggest a cooling phase is already underway. The 5-year price change remains strong at 34.2%, but the market temperature of 64/100 indicates a shift toward equilibrium. For those asking "will Gilbert home prices drop," the data points to a plateau rather than a sharp correction. The "A" risk grade and a days-on-market figure of 35 days signal a resilient underlying market, supported by Gilbert's reputation as a top family destination with strong schools and community amenities, which will continue to anchor demand.

Affordability will be the central theme for Gilbert real estate Gilbert 2027. The price-to-rent ratio of 29.3x, significantly above the national average of 18x, underscores a challenging environment for buyers and points to a "RENT" verdict for investors seeking immediate cash flow. With a median rent of $1,424/mo, the math strongly favors renting over buying from a pure investment standpoint. This affordability crunch, coupled with a 5-year CAGR of 6.0%, may temper price appreciation. Local economic growth, driven by the tech and healthcare sectors in the East Valley, will provide a steady demand floor, but high interest rates and inventory levels within the $420,323 โ€“ $614,331 price range could limit aggressive bidding wars. Expect a market defined by patient buyers and realistic sellers.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
1.7%
5yr CAGR
+5.6%

Job Market

Unemployment 3.8%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +3.2%

Healthcare

75
Score
Good

Risk Factors

Overvalued Market
Declining Prices

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 97.9%
Months Supply 4.9
Price Drops 31%
Gone in 2 Wks 27%

Market Position

Affordability Average
Safety Very Safe

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Gilbert.

Total ROI
-155%
on $115,850 invested
Annual ROI
NaN%
compounded
Total Return
-$179,377
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$3,116
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y1121kY2126kY3131kY4137kY5143k
Appreciation
$0
Cash Flow
-$179,377
Final Equity
$143,006

* Estimates based on 0.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Gilbert

Property

Purchase Price$579,250
Monthly Rent$1,424
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$2,763
Monthly Cash Flow
-$33,158/ year
-28.6%
Cash-on-Cash
0.3%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$1,424
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$2,929
โˆ’ Property Tax$579
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$483
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$71
= Net Cash Flow-$2,763

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$115,850
Loan Amount
$463,400
Total Monthly Expenses
$4,187
Gross Yield
3.0%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026