Greenville
Investment Analysis

Greenville, SC
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

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48
Investment Score
Hold
Cap Rate (Est.)
1.7%
Gross Yield
2.8%
P/R Ratio
22.0x
YoY Growth
+1.6%
Median Home Price
$465,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$1,074/mo
Median Income
$73,536
Population
72,822

Investment Breakdown

34
Value Score
66
Growth Score
43
Safety Score
57
Afford Score

Greenville has a price-to-rent ratio of 22.0x, which indicates renting and buying are roughly equal.

The estimated cap rate of 1.7% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of +1.6% indicates stable market conditions.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $1,074
Annual Gross $12,888

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$581
Insurance (~0.5%) -$194
Maintenance (~1%) -$388
Est. Net Cash Flow -$89/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Greenville Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$318K2027$346Kโ–ฒ 8.8%2028$362Kโ–ฒ 13.7%20232024Now
$380K$280K
Current
$465K
2026
Projected
$346K
โ†‘ 8.8% by 2027
Projected
$362K
โ†‘ 13.7% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+6.2%
Confidence:Moderate
Rยฒ:0.84
โ–ผ

When looking at the Greenville housing market forecast for 2026-2028, the numbers tell a story of a market that is transitioning from a breakneck pace to a more sustainable, albeit slower, growth trajectory. The 5-year price change of 36.9% is impressive, but the recent YoY price change of just 1.6% signals a clear cooling period. With a Price-to-Rent Ratio of 23.2x, well above the national average of 18x, the data leans heavily into the "rent" verdict, suggesting that the premium for ownership is currently high. The market temperature score of 61/100 and a risk grade of A indicate a stable but less frenetic environment compared to previous years. For those asking will Greenville home prices drop, the answer appears to be no, but significant appreciation is also unlikely; instead, expect a period of stabilization as the market finds a new equilibrium.

Influencing this Greenville real estate Greenville 2027 outlook are powerful local economic currents. The continued influx of residents drawn by the city's quality of life and job growth in the advanced manufacturing and tech sectors will underpin demand, preventing a sharp downturn. However, affordability is becoming a genuine constraint. The median home price of $317,902 against a median rent of $1,074/mo creates a challenging entry point for first-time buyers, which will keep a segment of the population in the rental market. Days on Market have stretched to 46, giving buyers more leverage than they've had in years. Ultimately, the forecast points to a balanced market where prices hold steady with modest gains, driven by strong fundamentals but tempered by affordability pressures. This is a healthy normalization, not a cause for alarm.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
2.3%
5yr CAGR
+6.2%

Job Market

Unemployment 3.2%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +2.8%

Healthcare

68
Score
Below Avg

Risk Factors

High Crime Area

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 95.9%
Months Supply 8.1
Price Drops 21%
Gone in 2 Wks 25%

Market Position

Affordability Below Avg
Safety Higher Risk

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Greenville.

Total ROI
-119%
on $93,000 invested
Annual ROI
NaN%
compounded
Total Return
-$110,640
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$2,567
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y1104kY2116kY3127kY4140kY5152k
Appreciation
$37,667
Cash Flow
-$148,307
Final Equity
$152,467

* Estimates based on 1.6% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Greenville

Property

Purchase Price$465,000
Monthly Rent$1,074
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$2,308
Monthly Cash Flow
-$27,702/ year
-29.8%
Cash-on-Cash
0.1%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$1,074
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$2,351
โˆ’ Property Tax$465
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$388
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$54
= Net Cash Flow-$2,308

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$93,000
Loan Amount
$372,000
Total Monthly Expenses
$3,382
Gross Yield
2.8%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026