Hartford
Investment Analysis

Hartford, CT
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

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62
Investment Score
Strong Buy
Cap Rate (Est.)
2.9%
Gross Yield
4.8%
P/R Ratio
9.6x
YoY Growth
+6.0%
Median Home Price
$330,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$1,319/mo
Median Income
$42,397
Population
119,674

Investment Breakdown

71
Value Score
100
Growth Score
32
Safety Score
29
Afford Score

Hartford has a price-to-rent ratio of 9.6x, which indicates buying is significantly better than renting.

The estimated cap rate of 2.9% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of +6.0% shows strong appreciation momentum.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $1,319
Annual Gross $15,828

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$413
Insurance (~0.5%) -$138
Maintenance (~1%) -$275
Est. Net Cash Flow $494/mo

Price Forecast 2026–2028

🔮 Hartford Price Forecast 20262028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis · Statistical projection
📈 Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$197K2027$211K 7.3%2028$224K 13.8%20232024Now
$235K$152K
Current
$330K
2026
Projected
$211K
7.3% by 2027
Projected
$224K
13.8% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+7.7%
Confidence:High
R²:0.99

Looking at the Hartford housing market forecast for 2026-2028, the data paints a picture of steady, sustainable growth rather than explosive gains. With a current median home price of $196,834 and a robust 5-year price change of 46.9%, the market has already built significant momentum. The price-to-rent ratio sits at a very healthy 11.0x, well below the national average of 18x, which strongly supports the "BUY" verdict and suggests that purchasing remains more financially sensible than renting in the Hartford area. The market temperature of 60/100 indicates a balanced, active environment where buyers and sellers can find common ground, avoiding the extreme frothiness seen in other regions.

Will Hartford home prices drop? Given the low risk grade of A and the affordability inherent in the current price point, a significant correction seems unlikely. Instead, look for appreciation to moderate from its recent 7.9% CAGR to a more normalized 3-5% annually through 2027. This stability is bolstered by Hartford's foundational economy, anchored by insurance giants and a growing bio-science sector, which provides consistent employment and housing demand. However, potential headwinds include broader economic uncertainty and property tax burdens, which could temper growth. For investors and residents eyeing Hartford real estate Hartford 2027, the outlook is cautiously optimistic. The market's fundamentals—affordability, a healthy price-to-rent ratio, and a strong risk profile—suggest that while the rapid appreciation of the past five years will likely cool, the area is poised for resilient, long-term value growth without the volatility of overheated markets.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
4.6%
5yr CAGR
+7.7%

Job Market

Unemployment 4.1%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +0.8%

Healthcare

85
Score
Excellent

Risk Factors

High Crime Area
Low Inventory

Market Activity

Source: Redfin · 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 101.9%
Months Supply 2.7
Price Drops 23%
Gone in 2 Wks 30%

Market Position

Affordability Above Avg
Safety Higher Risk

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Hartford.

Total ROI
64%
on $66,000 invested
Annual ROI
10.4%
compounded
Total Return
$42,118
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$1,293
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y189kY2113kY3138kY4165kY5194k
Appreciation
$112,657
Cash Flow
-$70,539
Final Equity
$194,128

* Estimates based on 6.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Hartford

Property

Purchase Price$330,000
Monthly Rent$1,319
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$1,146
Monthly Cash Flow
-$13,747/ year
-20.8%
Cash-on-Cash
1.9%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$1,319
− Mortgage (P&I)$1,669
− Property Tax$330
− Insurance$125
− Maintenance$275
− Vacancy Loss$66
= Net Cash Flow-$1,146

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$66,000
Loan Amount
$264,000
Total Monthly Expenses
$2,465
Gross Yield
4.8%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026