Henderson
Investment Analysis

Henderson, NV
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

Share:
45
Investment Score
Hold
Cap Rate (Est.)
2.0%
Gross Yield
3.4%
P/R Ratio
24.4x
YoY Growth
-1.6%
Median Home Price
$484,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$1,377/mo
Median Income
$82,476
Population
337,280

Investment Breakdown

27
Value Score
34
Growth Score
81
Safety Score
53
Afford Score

Henderson has a price-to-rent ratio of 24.4x, which indicates renting and buying are roughly equal.

The estimated cap rate of 2.0% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of -1.6% suggests a cooling market.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $1,377
Annual Gross $16,524

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$605
Insurance (~0.5%) -$202
Maintenance (~1%) -$403
Est. Net Cash Flow $167/mo

Price Forecast 2026–2028

🔮 Henderson Price Forecast 20262028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis · Statistical projection
📈 Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$481K2027$519K 7.9%2028$536K 11.4%20232024Now
$563K$428K
Current
$484K
2026
Projected
$519K
7.9% by 2027
Projected
$536K
11.4% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+5.7%
Confidence:Moderate
R²:0.55

For anyone gauging the Henderson housing market forecast through 2028, the data paints a picture of a market cooling from its pandemic-era sprint. The current median home price of $481,109 sits near the top of its recent five-year range, but the 2.0% year-over-year price decline signals a clear shift toward equilibrium. This stabilization is partly driven by affordability pressures, as the price-to-rent ratio of 26.6x significantly overshadows the national average of 18x, making the buy vs. rent calculation heavily favor renting for now. With a market temperature of 60/100, Henderson isn't in a deep freeze but has certainly lost its feverish pace.

Looking ahead, the central question of will Henderson home prices drop further hinges on local economic fundamentals. Henderson’s economy, anchored by healthcare, tech, and proximity to Las Vegas’s entertainment sector, continues to attract residents, but rising inventory and a slower sales velocity—evidenced by 51 days on market—are tempering price momentum. While the five-year price change remains strong at 33.3%, the 5.8% CAGR suggests a more normalized growth trajectory ahead. The A risk grade indicates a stable foundation, but the high price-to-rent ratio suggests potential for minor corrections or stagnation as the market absorbs past gains.

For prospective buyers and investors eyeing Henderson real estate Henderson 2027, patience may be the wisest strategy. The "RENT" verdict is a pragmatic call, allowing you to build savings while the market finds its footing. Expect moderate price fluctuations rather than a sharp collapse; the area's desirability and strong fundamentals will likely prevent a steep downturn, but the era of double-digit annual appreciation is likely over for this cycle. A balanced approach suggests waiting for clearer signs of renewed momentum before committing significant capital to the market.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
2.0%
5yr CAGR
+5.7%

Job Market

Unemployment 5.0%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +3.0%

Healthcare

69
Score
Below Avg

Risk Factors

Declining Prices

Market Activity

Source: Redfin · 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 97.8%
Months Supply 4.9
Price Drops 24%
Gone in 2 Wks 24%

Market Position

Affordability Below Avg
Safety Very Safe

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Henderson.

Total ROI
-143%
on $96,800 invested
Annual ROI
NaN%
compounded
Total Return
-$138,213
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$2,426
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y1101kY2105kY3110kY4114kY5119k
Appreciation
$0
Cash Flow
-$138,213
Final Equity
$119,491

* Estimates based on 0.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Henderson

Property

Purchase Price$484,000
Monthly Rent$1,377
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$2,152
Monthly Cash Flow
-$25,819/ year
-26.7%
Cash-on-Cash
0.7%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$1,377
− Mortgage (P&I)$2,447
− Property Tax$484
− Insurance$125
− Maintenance$403
− Vacancy Loss$69
= Net Cash Flow-$2,152

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$96,800
Loan Amount
$387,200
Total Monthly Expenses
$3,529
Gross Yield
3.4%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026