Jackson
Investment Analysis

Jackson, MS
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

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57
Investment Score
Strong Buy
Cap Rate (Est.)
6.6%
Gross Yield
11.1%
P/R Ratio
5.8x
YoY Growth
-4.1%
Median Home Price
$108,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$997/mo
Median Income
$42,336
Population
143,633

Investment Breakdown

83
Value Score
9
Growth Score
71
Safety Score
59
Afford Score

Jackson has a price-to-rent ratio of 5.8x, which indicates buying is significantly better than renting.

The estimated cap rate of 6.6% is above the national average, suggesting good cash flow potential.

Year-over-year price growth of -4.1% suggests a cooling market.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $997
Annual Gross $11,964

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$135
Insurance (~0.5%) -$45
Maintenance (~1%) -$90
Est. Net Cash Flow $727/mo

Price Forecast 2026–2028

🔮 Jackson Price Forecast 20262028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis · Statistical projection
📉 Downward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$85K2027$75K 11.0%2028$69K 18.5%20232024Now
$108K$66K
Current
$108K
2026
Projected
$75K
11.0% by 2027
Projected
$69K
18.5% by 2028
5yr CAGR:-1.3%
Confidence:Moderate
R²:0.52

Looking at the Jackson housing market forecast through 2026-2028, the data paints a picture of stabilization rather than explosive growth. With a current median home price of $84,672 and a recent -5.1% year-over-year price change, the market has been cooling from prior highs. However, the foundational metrics suggest resilience. The price-to-rent ratio sits at a remarkably low 6.5x, far below the national average of 18x, signaling that buying remains significantly more affordable than renting. This affordability, combined with a 40 day average on market, indicates steady, organic demand despite broader economic headwinds. For those asking "will Jackson home prices drop" further, the answer likely lies in modest adjustments rather than a crash, as the local economy's ties to healthcare, government, and education provide a baseline of stability.

The local economic landscape will be a key driver for the next few years. While Jackson faces challenges typical of many mid-sized Southern cities—such as infrastructure needs and population retention—affordability remains its strongest asset. The 5-year price change of -3.2% and a CAGR of -0.6% suggest the market has already absorbed much of its correction. This creates a compelling entry point for long-term investors focused on cash flow, supported by a median rent of $997/mo. As we move toward Jackson real estate Jackson 2027, the market's "Temperature" score of 63/100 and "A-" Risk Grade point to a balanced environment with manageable volatility. While appreciation may lag faster-growing metros, the deep value and strong rental yields offer a different kind of opportunity.

Ultimately, the forecast for Jackson from 2026 to 2028 is one of cautious optimism. The "BUY" verdict is justified by the extreme affordability and favorable price-to-rent ratio, but expectations for rapid appreciation should be tempered. Growth will likely be driven by organic demand and the city's role as a regional hub, rather than speculative fervor. Investors and homeowners should anticipate a market that rewards patience and local knowledge, with price growth potentially outpacing inflation modestly rather than surging. The key will be monitoring job growth and infrastructure investments, which could serve as catalysts for the next phase of the market's recovery.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
9.8%
5yr CAGR
-1.3%

Job Market

Unemployment 3.8%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +0.5%

Healthcare

58
Score
Below Avg

Risk Factors

Declining Prices

Market Activity

Source: Redfin · 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 92.0%
Months Supply 7.3
Price Drops 23%
Gone in 2 Wks 19%

Market Position

Affordability Below Avg
Safety Very Safe

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Jackson.

Total ROI
56%
on $21,600 invested
Annual ROI
9.3%
compounded
Total Return
$12,157
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
$114
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y122kY223kY324kY426kY527k
Appreciation
$0
Cash Flow
$12,157
Final Equity
$26,663

* Estimates based on 0.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Jackson

Property

Purchase Price$108,000
Monthly Rent$997
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
$78
Monthly Cash Flow
$937/ year
4.3%
Cash-on-Cash
6.9%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$997
− Mortgage (P&I)$546
− Property Tax$108
− Insurance$125
− Maintenance$90
− Vacancy Loss$50
= Net Cash Flow$78

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$21,600
Loan Amount
$86,400
Total Monthly Expenses
$919
Gross Yield
11.1%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026