Kalispell
Investment Analysis

Kalispell, MT
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

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32
Investment Score
Rent
Cap Rate (Est.)
1.4%
Gross Yield
2.4%
P/R Ratio
38.1x
YoY Growth
-0.3%
Median Home Price
$538,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$1,081/mo
Median Income
$61,590
Population
26,830

Investment Breakdown

0
Value Score
47
Growth Score
53
Safety Score
47
Afford Score

Kalispell has a price-to-rent ratio of 38.1x, which indicates renting is more favorable than buying.

The estimated cap rate of 1.4% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of -0.3% suggests a cooling market.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $1,081
Annual Gross $12,972

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$673
Insurance (~0.5%) -$224
Maintenance (~1%) -$448
Est. Net Cash Flow -$264/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Kalispell Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$538K2027$583Kโ–ฒ 8.3%2028$603Kโ–ฒ 12.1%20232024Now
$633K$485K
Current
$538K
2026
Projected
$583K
โ†‘ 8.3% by 2027
Projected
$603K
โ†‘ 12.1% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+7.8%
Confidence:Low
Rยฒ:0.45
โ–ผ

For those analyzing the Kalispell housing market forecast through 2028, the data suggests a period of consolidation rather than the explosive growth seen in prior years. With the median price at $538,312 and a recent YoY change of -0.3%, the market has effectively plateaued after a remarkable 5-year run that saw prices climb 49.0%. The sharp cooling is largely a function of affordability constraints. The price-to-rent ratio sits at 36.9xโ€”nearly double the national averageโ€”which signals that the financial math heavily favors renting over buying in the near term. While the local economy remains buoyed by tourism and a steady influx of remote workers seeking mountain lifestyle amenities, the rapid appreciation has outpaced local income growth, creating a ceiling for further price surges in the immediate future.

When asking will Kalispell home prices drop significantly, the risk profile suggests otherwise. With a Risk Grade of A and a Market Temperature of 60/100, the fundamentals remain healthy despite the valuation stretch. Inventory is moving at a reasonable pace of 35 days, indicating that while the frenzy has subsided, there is still consistent demand. The 5-year CAGR of 8.2% provides a buffer against a crash, suggesting that any correction will likely be shallow and gradual rather than abrupt. For the Kalispell real estate Kalispell 2027 outlook, expect a "soft landing" scenario where prices stabilize or see modest single-digit appreciation. The "Buy/Rent" verdict of RENT reflects the current premium on ownership; however, for long-term holders who can weather short-term volatility, the area's enduring appeal as a Rocky Mountain gateway offers solid equity potential over the three-year horizon.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
1.4%
5yr CAGR
+7.8%

Job Market

Unemployment 2.6%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +2.0%

Healthcare

71
Score
Good

Risk Factors

Overvalued Market
Declining Prices

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Months Supply 7.2
Price Drops 21%
Gone in 2 Wks 33%

Market Position

Affordability Average
Safety Average

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Kalispell.

Total ROI
-169%
on $107,600 invested
Annual ROI
NaN%
compounded
Total Return
-$181,664
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$3,124
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y1112kY2117kY3122kY4127kY5133k
Appreciation
$0
Cash Flow
-$181,664
Final Equity
$132,822

* Estimates based on 0.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Kalispell

Property

Purchase Price$538,000
Monthly Rent$1,081
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$2,805
Monthly Cash Flow
-$33,658/ year
-31.3%
Cash-on-Cash
-0.2%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$1,081
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$2,720
โˆ’ Property Tax$538
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$448
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$54
= Net Cash Flow-$2,805

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$107,600
Loan Amount
$430,400
Total Monthly Expenses
$3,886
Gross Yield
2.4%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026