Los Angeles
Investment Analysis

Los Angeles, CA
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

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21
Investment Score
Rent
Cap Rate (Est.)
1.4%
Gross Yield
2.4%
P/R Ratio
30.3x
YoY Growth
-2.7%
Median Home Price
$1,002,500
Average Rent (1BR)
$2,006/mo
Median Income
$79,701
Population
3,820,963

Investment Breakdown

9
Value Score
23
Growth Score
27
Safety Score
35
Afford Score

Los Angeles has a price-to-rent ratio of 30.3x, which indicates renting is more favorable than buying.

The estimated cap rate of 1.4% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of -2.7% suggests a cooling market.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $2,006
Annual Gross $24,072

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$1,253
Insurance (~0.5%) -$418
Maintenance (~1%) -$835
Est. Net Cash Flow -$500/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Los Angeles Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$933K2027$984Kโ–ฒ 5.5%2028$1Mโ–ฒ 8.0%20232024Now
$1M$829K
Current
$1M
2026
Projected
$984K
โ†‘ 5.5% by 2027
Projected
$1M
โ†‘ 8.0% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+3.5%
Confidence:Moderate
Rยฒ:0.57
โ–ผ

Looking at the Los Angeles housing market forecast for 2026-2028, the data suggests a period of stabilization rather than a dramatic rebound. The current median home price of $933,111 has already seen a slight year-over-year decline of -1.8%, signaling a cooling trend after years of rapid appreciation. With a 5-year price change of 19.5% and a CAGR of 3.6%, the market is transitioning from a high-growth phase to a more normalized environment. The 48 days on market indicates properties are moving, but not with the frenetic pace seen previously. For investors and potential buyers asking "will Los Angeles home prices drop" significantly, the answer appears to be no; instead, expect modest fluctuations as the market finds a new equilibrium, particularly as we approach 2027.

A key factor in this forecast is the extreme affordability challenge, highlighted by a price-to-rent ratio of 34.2x, which is nearly double the national average. This metric strongly supports the current "RENT" verdict, as buying remains far more expensive than leasing in the short term. The local tech and entertainment economies continue to provide underlying demand, but high interest rates and persistent inflation will keep pressure on buyers, limiting price upside. The market temperature of 61/100 and a B+ risk grade suggest a balanced but cautious environment. For those analyzing Los Angeles real estate Los Angeles 2027, the outlook is one of stability: prices are unlikely to crash given the constrained supply and enduring desirability, but significant growth is also improbable until affordability metrics improve. The 5-year price range of $781,110 โ€“ $958,107 provides a realistic band for the coming years, with the market likely hovering within these parameters.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
1.5%
5yr CAGR
+3.5%

Job Market

Unemployment 5.2%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +1.5%

Healthcare

78
Score
Good

Risk Factors

High Crime Area
Overvalued Market
Declining Prices

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 98.3%
Months Supply 5.7
Price Drops 16%
Gone in 2 Wks 24%

Market Position

Affordability Average
Safety Higher Risk

Similar Markets Compare with cities of similar size & cost

Showing cities with similar population (1910k - 5731k) and cost of living index (92 - 139)

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Los Angeles.

Total ROI
-169%
on $200,500 invested
Annual ROI
NaN%
compounded
Total Return
-$339,028
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$5,829
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y1209kY2217kY3227kY4237kY5247k
Appreciation
$0
Cash Flow
-$339,028
Final Equity
$247,498

* Estimates based on 0.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Los Angeles

Property

Purchase Price$1,002,500
Monthly Rent$2,006
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$5,126
Monthly Cash Flow
-$61,517/ year
-30.7%
Cash-on-Cash
-0.1%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$2,006
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$5,069
โˆ’ Property Tax$1,003
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$835
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$100
= Net Cash Flow-$5,126

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$200,500
Loan Amount
$802,000
Total Monthly Expenses
$7,132
Gross Yield
2.4%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026