Mandan
Investment Analysis

Mandan, ND
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

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57
Investment Score
Rent
Cap Rate (Est.)
1.7%
Gross Yield
2.8%
P/R Ratio
27.5x
YoY Growth
+6.3%
Median Home Price
$347,450
Average Rent (1BR)
$806/mo
Median Income
$75,966
Population
24,293

Investment Breakdown

18
Value Score
100
Growth Score
68
Safety Score
60
Afford Score

Mandan has a price-to-rent ratio of 27.5x, which indicates renting is more favorable than buying.

The estimated cap rate of 1.7% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of +6.3% shows strong appreciation momentum.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $806
Annual Gross $9,672

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$434
Insurance (~0.5%) -$145
Maintenance (~1%) -$290
Est. Net Cash Flow -$63/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Mandan Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$331K2027$342Kโ–ฒ 3.1%2028$356Kโ–ฒ 7.3%20232024Now
$374K$271K
Current
$347K
2026
Projected
$342K
โ†‘ 3.1% by 2027
Projected
$356K
โ†‘ 7.3% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+5.9%
Confidence:High
Rยฒ:0.97
โ–ผ

For anyone evaluating the Mandan housing market forecast through 2028, the data suggests a period of normalization rather than the rapid appreciation seen in prior years. The median home price of $331,371 sits against a backdrop of slowing momentum, with the current YoY price change at 6.1%โ€”a figure that, while positive, reflects a cooling trend compared to the five-year CAGR of 5.8%. The market temperature score of 59/100 indicates a balanced but cautious environment. A critical question facing potential buyers is whether Mandan home prices will drop; while a significant crash seems unlikely given the area's strong Risk Grade: A, the high price-to-rent ratio of 30.5x compared to the national average of 18x suggests that price growth must slow to align with rental fundamentals.

Local economic factors will heavily influence this trajectory. Mandan benefits from its proximity to Bismarck and a stable regional economy anchored by agriculture, energy, and government sectors. However, the affordability constraint is real; with median rent at just $806/mo, the cost of buying is increasingly out of step with local income levels, pushing the verdict toward RENT for many. Days on market averaging 53 days shows homes are still moving, but not with the frantic speed of a seller's market. Looking at Mandan real estate in 2027, the outlook is for single-digit gains as inventory potentially stabilizes. While the 5-year price change of 33.4% demonstrates resilience, the path forward likely involves flatter growth curves rather than steep inclines.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
1.7%
5yr CAGR
+5.9%

Job Market

Unemployment 2.0%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +1.8%

Healthcare

75
Score
Good

Risk Factors

Overvalued Market
Low Inventory

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 98.2%
Months Supply 11.8
Price Drops 14%
Gone in 2 Wks 40%

Market Position

Affordability Below Avg
Safety Average

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Mandan.

Total ROI
19%
on $69,490 invested
Annual ROI
3.6%
compounded
Total Return
$13,315
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$1,915
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y194kY2120kY3148kY4178kY5210k
Appreciation
$123,912
Cash Flow
-$110,597
Final Equity
$209,691

* Estimates based on 6.3% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Mandan

Property

Purchase Price$347,450
Monthly Rent$806
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$1,753
Monthly Cash Flow
-$21,038/ year
-30.3%
Cash-on-Cash
0.0%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$806
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$1,757
โˆ’ Property Tax$347
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$290
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$40
= Net Cash Flow-$1,753

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$69,490
Loan Amount
$277,960
Total Monthly Expenses
$2,559
Gross Yield
2.8%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026