Midwest City
Investment Analysis

Midwest City, OK
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

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55
Investment Score
Strong Buy
Cap Rate (Est.)
3.1%
Gross Yield
5.1%
P/R Ratio
14.2x
YoY Growth
-0.3%
Median Home Price
$181,500
Average Rent (1BR)
$773/mo
Median Income
$57,739
Population
58,170

Investment Breakdown

57
Value Score
47
Growth Score
54
Safety Score
59
Afford Score

Midwest City has a price-to-rent ratio of 14.2x, which indicates buying is significantly better than renting.

The estimated cap rate of 3.1% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of -0.3% suggests a cooling market.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $773
Annual Gross $9,276

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$227
Insurance (~0.5%) -$76
Maintenance (~1%) -$151
Est. Net Cash Flow $319/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Midwest City Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$165K2027$181Kโ–ฒ 9.6%2028$189Kโ–ฒ 14.4%20232024Now
$199K$148K
Current
$182K
2026
Projected
$181K
โ†‘ 9.6% by 2027
Projected
$189K
โ†‘ 14.4% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+5.7%
Confidence:Moderate
Rยฒ:0.84
โ–ผ

For those evaluating the Midwest City housing market forecast through 2028, the current data paints a picture of stabilization rather than explosive growth. With a median home price of $165,283 and a recent YoY price change of -0.5%, the market is cooling from its five-year CAGR of 5.8%. This moderation is actually healthy; the 5-year price range of $123,992 โ€“ $166,160 shows that appreciation has been steady, not speculative. The Price-to-Rent Ratio sits at 15.8x, notably below the national average, which suggests that buying remains a financially viable alternative to renting in the area. However, with a Market Temperature of 68/100 and a Risk Grade of A, investors should expect a more balanced playing field moving forward.

When asking will Midwest City home prices drop significantly, the answer appears to be no, thanks to strong affordability fundamentals and a tight supply indicated by Days on Market of just 23. The local economy in Oklahoma City County benefits from stable government and healthcare employment, which supports consistent housing demand without the volatility of boom-and-bust cycles. The Buy/Rent Verdict of NEUTRAL implies that while prices aren't poised for a sharp decline, they likely won't replicate the 33.3% five-year surge in the immediate term. For Midwest City real estate Midwest City 2027 outlook, we anticipate modest appreciation in the 2-4% range annually, driven by continued affordability relative to coastal markets and steady local job growth.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
3.2%
5yr CAGR
+5.7%

Job Market

Unemployment 3.3%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +1.5%

Healthcare

64
Score
Below Avg

Risk Factors

Declining Prices

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 97.0%
Months Supply 3.3
Price Drops 25%
Gone in 2 Wks 32%

Market Position

Affordability Below Avg
Safety Average

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Midwest City.

Total ROI
-99%
on $36,300 invested
Annual ROI
-58.1%
compounded
Total Return
-$35,832
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$666
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y138kY239kY341kY443kY545k
Appreciation
$0
Cash Flow
-$35,832
Final Equity
$44,809

* Estimates based on 0.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Midwest City

Property

Purchase Price$181,500
Monthly Rent$773
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$641
Monthly Cash Flow
-$7,694/ year
-21.2%
Cash-on-Cash
1.8%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$773
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$918
โˆ’ Property Tax$182
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$151
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$39
= Net Cash Flow-$641

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$36,300
Loan Amount
$145,200
Total Monthly Expenses
$1,414
Gross Yield
5.1%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026