Minneapolis
Investment Analysis

Minneapolis, MN
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

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46
Investment Score
Buy
Cap Rate (Est.)
2.7%
Gross Yield
4.5%
P/R Ratio
16.2x
YoY Growth
+1.5%
Median Home Price
$350,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$1,327/mo
Median Income
$81,001
Population
425,142

Investment Breakdown

51
Value Score
65
Growth Score
11
Safety Score
46
Afford Score

Minneapolis has a price-to-rent ratio of 16.2x, which indicates buying is moderately favorable.

The estimated cap rate of 2.7% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of +1.5% indicates stable market conditions.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $1,327
Annual Gross $15,924

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$438
Insurance (~0.5%) -$146
Maintenance (~1%) -$292
Est. Net Cash Flow $452/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Minneapolis Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$316K2027$316Kโ–ฒ 0.0%2028$319Kโ–ฒ 0.8%20232024Now
$335K$286K
Current
$350K
2026
Projected
$316K
โ†‘ 0.0% by 2027
Projected
$319K
โ†‘ 0.8% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+1.7%
Confidence:Moderate
Rยฒ:0.57
โ–ผ

For anyone asking will Minneapolis home prices drop, the current data suggests stability over a significant correction. The market is leaning into a balanced phase, with a Market Temperature of 63/100 and a Risk Grade of A, indicating solid fundamentals. With a Price-to-Rent Ratio of 17.9xโ€”just below the national averageโ€”the rent-versus-buy calculation remains relatively even, supporting continued demand from both owner-occupants and investors. The modest YoY Price Change of 0.9% and a low Days on Market of 39 days show a market that is neither overheating nor stalling, a key consideration for the Minneapolis housing market forecast through 2026.

Looking toward Minneapolis real estate Minneapolis 2027, the city's economic resilience will be a primary driver. The presence of major corporate headquarters and a robust healthcare and tech sector provides a stable employment base that can support housing demand, even if broader national conditions soften. Affordability remains a relative strength compared to coastal markets, which could attract continued inbound migration. However, the 5-year CAGR of 1.8% signals that the era of rapid appreciation has cooled, suggesting that prices will likely trend sideways or see only modest gains, closely tied to interest rate movements and inventory levels.

Overall, the forecast for 2026-2028 points toward a period of consolidation. The median home price of $316,171 has shown resilience within its 5-year range, and the NEUTRAL buy/rent verdict reinforces that this is not a market driven by speculation. While a sharp downturn seems unlikely given the A risk grade, significant price growth may be constrained by affordability pressures. The outlook is one of steady, incremental change rather than dramatic swings, making Minneapolis a predictable, low-volatility market for the foreseeable future.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
3.1%
5yr CAGR
+1.7%

Job Market

Unemployment 2.8%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +1.5%

Healthcare

86
Score
Excellent

Risk Factors

High Crime Area

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 97.7%
Months Supply 3.8
Price Drops 19%
Gone in 2 Wks 30%

Market Position

Affordability Average
Safety Higher Risk

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Minneapolis.

Total ROI
-76%
on $70,000 invested
Annual ROI
-24.6%
compounded
Total Return
-$52,991
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$1,440
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y178kY286kY395kY4104kY5113k
Appreciation
$26,307
Cash Flow
-$79,298
Final Equity
$112,715

* Estimates based on 1.5% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Minneapolis

Property

Purchase Price$350,000
Monthly Rent$1,327
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$1,276
Monthly Cash Flow
-$15,310/ year
-21.9%
Cash-on-Cash
1.7%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$1,327
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$1,770
โˆ’ Property Tax$350
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$292
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$66
= Net Cash Flow-$1,276

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$70,000
Loan Amount
$280,000
Total Monthly Expenses
$2,603
Gross Yield
4.5%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026