Montgomery
Investment Analysis

Montgomery, AL
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

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52
Investment Score
Strong Buy
Cap Rate (Est.)
3.7%
Gross Yield
6.1%
P/R Ratio
11.1x
YoY Growth
+0.0%
Median Home Price
$180,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$913/mo
Median Income
$57,300
Population
195,275

Investment Breakdown

67
Value Score
50
Growth Score
21
Safety Score
59
Afford Score

Montgomery has a price-to-rent ratio of 11.1x, which indicates buying is significantly better than renting.

The estimated cap rate of 3.7% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of +0.0% indicates stable market conditions.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $913
Annual Gross $10,956

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$225
Insurance (~0.5%) -$75
Maintenance (~1%) -$150
Est. Net Cash Flow $463/mo

Price Forecast 2026–2028

🔮 Montgomery Price Forecast 20262028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis · Statistical projection
📈 Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$145K2027$157K 8.3%2028$163K 12.4%20232024Now
$171K$132K
Current
$180K
2026
Projected
$157K
8.3% by 2027
Projected
$163K
12.4% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+5.4%
Confidence:Moderate
R²:0.75

For anyone evaluating a Montgomery housing market forecast through 2028, the current metrics suggest a stable, affordability-driven environment. The median home price sits at $145,279, with a price-to-rent ratio of 12.1x—significantly below the national average of 18x—which strongly supports the BUY verdict. While the recent YoY price change is modest at 0.2%, the 5-year CAGR of 5.4% demonstrates consistent, sustainable growth rather than speculative frenzy. With days on market at 45, the pace is deliberate, giving buyers room to negotiate without the intense pressure seen in hotter markets. This stability is anchored by Montgomery’s role as a government and military hub, providing a steady employment base that insulates the market from drastic volatility.

When asking will Montgomery home prices drop, the data points to resilience rather than decline. The market temperature of 62/100 and an A risk grade indicate a balanced, low-risk environment. Affordability remains a key driver, supported by median rent at $913/mo, which keeps ownership accessible for a broad demographic. Looking ahead to Montgomery real estate Montgomery 2027, ongoing infrastructure investments and the expansion of aerospace and manufacturing sectors could provide incremental price support. However, with a 5-year price range of $111,033 – $145,366, growth is likely to remain measured. The absence of rapid appreciation suggests prices won’t spike, but the strong fundamentals make a significant drop unlikely.

Overall, the outlook for 2026-2028 is one of steady, incremental gains rather than explosive growth. The combination of affordability, a stable job market, and a healthy price-to-rent ratio creates a foundation for continued buyer interest. While external factors like interest rates or broader economic shifts could introduce headwinds, Montgomery’s market is positioned to weather such challenges better than more volatile regions. Investors and homeowners should expect moderate appreciation, with the market favoring long-term holders over short-term flippers. The key takeaway is that Montgomery offers a low-risk, value-oriented opportunity, with prices likely to trend upward at a pace aligned with historical norms rather than dramatic swings.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
4.3%
5yr CAGR
+5.4%

Job Market

Unemployment 3.1%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +1.8%

Healthcare

72
Score
Good

Risk Factors

High Crime Area

Market Activity

Source: Redfin · 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 93.9%
Months Supply 7.6
Price Drops 22%
Gone in 2 Wks 24%

Market Position

Affordability Below Avg
Safety Higher Risk

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Montgomery.

Total ROI
-72%
on $36,000 invested
Annual ROI
-22.7%
compounded
Total Return
-$26,050
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$521
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y138kY239kY341kY443kY545k
Appreciation
$360
Cash Flow
-$26,410
Final Equity
$44,799

* Estimates based on 0.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Montgomery

Property

Purchase Price$180,000
Monthly Rent$913
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$498
Monthly Cash Flow
-$5,974/ year
-16.6%
Cash-on-Cash
2.7%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$913
− Mortgage (P&I)$910
− Property Tax$180
− Insurance$125
− Maintenance$150
− Vacancy Loss$46
= Net Cash Flow-$498

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$36,000
Loan Amount
$144,000
Total Monthly Expenses
$1,411
Gross Yield
6.1%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026