New York
Investment Analysis

New York, NY
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

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51
Investment Score
Hold
Cap Rate (Est.)
2.0%
Gross Yield
3.4%
P/R Ratio
24.1x
YoY Growth
+3.2%
Median Home Price
$875,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$2,451/mo
Median Income
$76,577
Population
8,258,035

Investment Breakdown

28
Value Score
82
Growth Score
64
Safety Score
38
Afford Score

New York has a price-to-rent ratio of 24.1x, which indicates renting and buying are roughly equal.

The estimated cap rate of 2.0% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of +3.2% indicates stable market conditions.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $2,451
Annual Gross $29,412

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$1,094
Insurance (~0.5%) -$365
Maintenance (~1%) -$729
Est. Net Cash Flow $264/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ New York Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$805K2027$789Kโ–ผ 2.0%2028$794Kโ–ผ 1.3%20232024Now
$845K$708K
Current
$875K
2026
Projected
$789K
โ†“ 2.0% by 2027
Projected
$794K
โ†“ 1.3% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+1.9%
Confidence:Low
Rยฒ:0.15
โ–ผ

For those weighing whether to buy or rent, the current data suggests a cautious approach. The Price-to-Rent Ratio: 25.8x is significantly higher than the national avg: 18x, indicating that purchasing property remains a substantial premium over leasing. With a Median Rent: $2,451/mo and a Median Home Price: $804,879, the math heavily favors renting in the short term. This dynamic directly informs the New York housing market forecast, as affordability constraints may cap future appreciation. When potential buyers analyze the data, they often ask, will New York home prices drop? While a sharp correction isn't guaranteed, the modest YoY Price Change: 3.3% and a 5-Year CAGR: 1.9% suggest that the explosive growth years are likely behind us for now.

Looking ahead to 2026-2028, the local economy will be the primary driver. New York real estate New York 2027 will likely be influenced by the strength of the financial and tech sectors, alongside persistent affordability issues that may push demand to the outer boroughs. The Market Temperature: 52/100 and a Risk Grade: B+ point to a stable but unspectacular environment where properties take 78 days to sell. While prices aren't expected to crash, they may stagnate or see only incremental gains, especially if interest rates remain elevated. Ultimately, this market is best suited for those with a long-term horizon rather than speculative investors, as the balance between supply and demand continues to evolve.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
2.3%
5yr CAGR
+1.9%

Job Market

Unemployment 4.3%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +0.8%

Healthcare

80
Score
Excellent

Risk Factors

Low Risk Profile

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 97.9%
Months Supply 5.5
Price Drops 20%
Gone in 2 Wks 9%

Market Position

Affordability Average
Safety Average

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for New York.

Total ROI
-58%
on $175,000 invested
Annual ROI
-15.8%
compounded
Total Return
-$101,026
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$4,423
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y1211kY2247kY3286kY4326kY5367k
Appreciation
$151,238
Cash Flow
-$252,264
Final Equity
$367,259

* Estimates based on 3.2% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for New York

Property

Purchase Price$875,000
Monthly Rent$2,451
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$3,825
Monthly Cash Flow
-$45,902/ year
-26.2%
Cash-on-Cash
0.8%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$2,451
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$4,424
โˆ’ Property Tax$875
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$729
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$123
= Net Cash Flow-$3,825

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$175,000
Loan Amount
$700,000
Total Monthly Expenses
$6,276
Gross Yield
3.4%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026