North Little Rock
Investment Analysis

North Little Rock, AR
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

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53
Investment Score
Strong Buy
Cap Rate (Est.)
3.3%
Gross Yield
5.5%
P/R Ratio
12.1x
YoY Growth
-0.1%
Median Home Price
$206,800
Average Rent (1BR)
$950/mo
Median Income
$51,236
Population
64,504

Investment Breakdown

64
Value Score
49
Growth Score
33
Safety Score
61
Afford Score

North Little Rock has a price-to-rent ratio of 12.1x, which indicates buying is significantly better than renting.

The estimated cap rate of 3.3% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of -0.1% suggests a cooling market.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $950
Annual Gross $11,400

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$259
Insurance (~0.5%) -$86
Maintenance (~1%) -$172
Est. Net Cash Flow $433/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ North Little Rock Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$162K2027$170Kโ–ฒ 5.1%2028$174Kโ–ฒ 7.8%20232024Now
$183K$149K
Current
$207K
2026
Projected
$170K
โ†‘ 5.1% by 2027
Projected
$174K
โ†‘ 7.8% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+4.1%
Confidence:Moderate
Rยฒ:0.64
โ–ผ

When evaluating the North Little Rock housing market forecast for 2026-2028, the data paints a picture of stability rather than explosive growth. The current median home price sits at $161,534, a figure that remains highly accessible compared to national norms. With a price-to-rent ratio of just 13.2xโ€”well below the national average of 18xโ€”the math strongly favors buying over renting. This affordability anchor, combined with a modest YoY price change of 0.5%, suggests a market that won't see wild swings but should appreciate steadily. The 5-year CAGR of 4.2% indicates a healthy, sustainable trajectory that aligns with local economic fundamentals rather than speculative fever.

For those asking will North Little Rock home prices drop, the indicators point toward continued resilience. The market temperature of 60/100 and an A risk grade signal a balanced environment where inventory moves at a reasonable 35 days on market. Key local factors supporting this stability include the region's diversified economy anchored by healthcare, logistics, and government sectors, alongside ongoing downtown revitalization efforts. Affordability remains a major draw, especially as remote work continues to attract buyers from pricier markets. Looking toward North Little Rock real estate North Little Rock 2027, expect modest appreciation driven by population growth and limited new construction, though rising interest rates could temper some demand. The five-year price range of $131,221 โ€“ $161,831 demonstrates remarkable consistency, reinforcing that this isn't a boom-bust market but rather one built on fundamentals.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
4.1%
5yr CAGR
+4.1%

Job Market

Unemployment 3.5%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +1.2%

Healthcare

65
Score
Below Avg

Risk Factors

High Crime Area
Declining Prices

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 97.5%
Months Supply 5.5
Price Drops 19%
Gone in 2 Wks 13%

Market Position

Affordability Below Avg
Safety Higher Risk

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for North Little Rock.

Total ROI
-88%
on $41,360 invested
Annual ROI
-34.9%
compounded
Total Return
-$36,510
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$693
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y143kY245kY347kY449kY551k
Appreciation
$0
Cash Flow
-$36,510
Final Equity
$51,055

* Estimates based on 0.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for North Little Rock

Property

Purchase Price$206,800
Monthly Rent$950
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$647
Monthly Cash Flow
-$7,768/ year
-18.8%
Cash-on-Cash
2.3%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$950
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$1,046
โˆ’ Property Tax$207
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$172
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$48
= Net Cash Flow-$647

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$41,360
Loan Amount
$165,440
Total Monthly Expenses
$1,597
Gross Yield
5.5%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026