Orem
Investment Analysis

Orem, UT
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

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50
Investment Score
Rent
Cap Rate (Est.)
1.5%
Gross Yield
2.5%
P/R Ratio
33.0x
YoY Growth
+3.7%
Median Home Price
$515,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$1,093/mo
Median Income
$82,348
Population
95,514

Investment Breakdown

1
Value Score
87
Growth Score
83
Safety Score
55
Afford Score

Orem has a price-to-rent ratio of 33.0x, which indicates renting is more favorable than buying.

The estimated cap rate of 1.5% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of +3.7% indicates stable market conditions.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $1,093
Annual Gross $13,116

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$644
Insurance (~0.5%) -$215
Maintenance (~1%) -$429
Est. Net Cash Flow -$195/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Orem Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$496K2027$508Kโ–ฒ 2.4%2028$521Kโ–ฒ 4.9%20232024Now
$547K$438K
Current
$515K
2026
Projected
$508K
โ†‘ 2.4% by 2027
Projected
$521K
โ†‘ 4.9% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+5.7%
Confidence:Low
Rยฒ:0.44
โ–ผ

The Orem housing market forecast for 2026-2028 suggests a period of moderated appreciation rather than significant correction, though affordability will remain a central challenge for potential buyers. With a current median home price of $496,216 and a price-to-rent ratio of 35.3x, the market heavily favors renting over buying from a pure cost perspective. This high ratio indicates that home prices are substantially disconnected from rental income potential, creating a barrier for investment-focused purchases. While the 5-year price change of 34.8% demonstrates strong historical momentum, the cooling YoY price change to 3.6% signals a natural deceleration. For those asking if Orem home prices will drop, the data points to stabilization rather than a sharp decline, supported by the market's A-grade risk assessment and relatively healthy demand indicated by 44 days on market.

Local economic factors will heavily influence Orem real estate Orem 2027 dynamics, particularly the city's role within the Provo-Orem metropolitan area and its proximity to major employers like Utah Valley University and several tech firms. This employment base provides a steady stream of housing demand, but the current 62/100 market temperature score reflects a shift toward a more balanced environment. Affordability constraints, highlighted by the "RENT" verdict, may push some demand toward surrounding communities or rental properties, potentially capping price growth. While a price drop isn't imminent given the low risk grade, the era of rapid appreciation appears to be ending. Buyers should expect a more normalized market where strategic negotiations are possible, while sellers may need to adjust expectations from the aggressive gains seen in the prior five-year period, which saw a compound annual growth rate of 6.1%.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
1.6%
5yr CAGR
+5.7%

Job Market

Unemployment 2.8%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +3.5%

Healthcare

81
Score
Excellent

Risk Factors

Overvalued Market

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 98.6%
Months Supply 2.9
Price Drops 32%
Gone in 2 Wks 18%

Market Position

Affordability Below Avg
Safety Very Safe

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Orem.

Total ROI
-67%
on $103,000 invested
Annual ROI
-19.8%
compounded
Total Return
-$68,868
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$2,935
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y1126kY2150kY3175kY4201kY5229k
Appreciation
$101,401
Cash Flow
-$170,268
Final Equity
$228,545

* Estimates based on 3.7% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Orem

Property

Purchase Price$515,000
Monthly Rent$1,093
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$2,635
Monthly Cash Flow
-$31,619/ year
-30.7%
Cash-on-Cash
-0.1%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$1,093
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$2,604
โˆ’ Property Tax$515
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$429
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$55
= Net Cash Flow-$2,635

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$103,000
Loan Amount
$412,000
Total Monthly Expenses
$3,728
Gross Yield
2.5%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026