Pittsburg
Investment Analysis

Pittsburg, CA
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

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34
Investment Score
Buy
Cap Rate (Est.)
2.7%
Gross Yield
4.5%
P/R Ratio
16.1x
YoY Growth
-5.3%
Median Home Price
$615,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$2,304/mo
Median Income
$92,506
Population
75,790

Investment Breakdown

52
Value Score
0
Growth Score
50
Safety Score
32
Afford Score

Pittsburg has a price-to-rent ratio of 16.1x, which indicates buying is moderately favorable.

The estimated cap rate of 2.7% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of -5.3% suggests a cooling market.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $2,304
Annual Gross $27,648

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$769
Insurance (~0.5%) -$256
Maintenance (~1%) -$513
Est. Net Cash Flow $767/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Pittsburg Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
โžก๏ธ Stable
PROJECTEDNOW$551K2027$573Kโ–ฒ 4.0%2028$573Kโ–ฒ 4.0%20232024Now
$619K$523K
Current
$615K
2026
Projected
$573K
โ†‘ 4.0% by 2027
Projected
$573K
โ†‘ 4.0% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+1.5%
Confidence:Low
Rยฒ:0.00
โ–ผ

The current Pittsburg housing market forecast suggests a period of stabilization rather than dramatic shifts through 2028. With a median home price of $615,000 and a price-to-rent ratio of 22.2x, the market is stretched compared to the national average, making homeownership less compelling than renting for many. The lack of year-over-year price movement (0.0%) and a modest 5-year CAGR of 1.9% signal a cooling phase after years of growth. A "market temperature" of 50/100 and a C risk grade further indicate balanced but cautious conditions. For potential buyers asking "will Pittsburg home prices drop," the data points toward modest corrections rather than a crash, with affordability constraints capping upward momentum.

Looking ahead to Pittsburg real estate in 2026-2028, local economic and demographic factors will shape the trajectory. The city's role as a more affordable alternative within the Bay Area's broader housing ecosystem continues to attract buyers priced out of core metros, but high interest rates and regional job market fluctuations could temper demand. Inventory levels and the current 35 days on market suggest neither extreme seller nor buyer leverage. While long-term appreciation remains positive at 10.0% over five years, the "RENT" verdict and stagnant short-term growth highlight affordability challenges. Ultimately, Pittsburg's market is likely to see slow, incremental price changes, with growth dependent on regional economic health and migration patterns rather than speculative fervor.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
3.0%
5yr CAGR
+1.5%

Job Market

Unemployment 5.2%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +1.5%

Healthcare

78
Score
Good

Risk Factors

Declining Prices

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 99.9%
Months Supply 2.6
Price Drops 7%
Gone in 2 Wks 52%

Market Position

Affordability Average
Safety Average

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Pittsburg.

Total ROI
-115%
on $123,000 invested
Annual ROI
NaN%
compounded
Total Return
-$141,067
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$2,556
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y1128kY2133kY3139kY4145kY5152k
Appreciation
$0
Cash Flow
-$141,067
Final Equity
$151,832

* Estimates based on 0.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Pittsburg

Property

Purchase Price$615,000
Monthly Rent$2,304
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$2,173
Monthly Cash Flow
-$26,082/ year
-21.2%
Cash-on-Cash
1.8%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$2,304
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$3,110
โˆ’ Property Tax$615
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$513
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$115
= Net Cash Flow-$2,173

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$123,000
Loan Amount
$492,000
Total Monthly Expenses
$4,477
Gross Yield
4.5%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026