Plano
Investment Analysis

Plano, TX
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

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34
Investment Score
Rent
Cap Rate (Est.)
1.9%
Gross Yield
3.1%
P/R Ratio
25.6x
YoY Growth
-5.0%
Median Home Price
$499,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$1,291/mo
Median Income
$108,594
Population
288,228

Investment Breakdown

23
Value Score
0
Growth Score
82
Safety Score
47
Afford Score

Plano has a price-to-rent ratio of 25.6x, which indicates renting is more favorable than buying.

The estimated cap rate of 1.9% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of -5.0% suggests a cooling market.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $1,291
Annual Gross $15,492

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$624
Insurance (~0.5%) -$208
Maintenance (~1%) -$416
Est. Net Cash Flow $44/mo

Price Forecast 2026–2028

🔮 Plano Price Forecast 20262028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis · Statistical projection
📈 Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$492K2027$562K 14.3%2028$584K 18.7%20232024Now
$613K$467K
Current
$499K
2026
Projected
$562K
14.3% by 2027
Projected
$584K
18.7% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+5.8%
Confidence:Moderate
R²:0.52

Looking at the Plano housing market forecast through 2028, the data suggests a period of stabilization rather than dramatic shifts. Currently, the median home price sits at $491,676 following a recent -4.8% year-over-year adjustment. While the 5-year CAGR remains healthy at 6.0%, the immediate cooling indicates that the explosive growth seen post-pandemic is moderating. This deceleration is largely influenced by persistent affordability constraints; with a price-to-rent ratio of 28.2x—significantly higher than the national average—buying remains a substantial financial leap compared to renting. For potential buyers asking "will Plano home prices drop" in the near term, the data points toward a soft landing rather than a steep decline, as the market temperature of 60/100 suggests balanced activity despite longer days on market (49 days).

For those evaluating Plano real estate Plano 2027 opportunities, local economic fundamentals will likely dictate the pace of recovery. Plano’s robust corporate presence, including major employers in technology and finance, provides a buffer against broader economic downturns, supporting wage growth that can sustain housing demand. However, affordability remains a critical hurdle. The median rent of $1,291/mo presents a compelling alternative for many, reinforcing the "RENT" verdict for the immediate future. As we move toward 2026-2027, inventory levels and interest rate trends will be the primary drivers. If borrowing costs ease, we may see a resurgence in buyer activity, but any price appreciation is likely to align more closely with inflation rather than the double-digit gains of the past. Ultimately, Plano’s high risk grade of A signals long-term stability, making it a solid hold for current homeowners while suggesting patience for those waiting to enter the market.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
1.7%
5yr CAGR
+5.8%

Job Market

Unemployment 4.0%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +3.2%

Healthcare

70
Score
Good

Risk Factors

Overvalued Market
Declining Prices

Market Activity

Source: Redfin · 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 97.3%
Months Supply 4.4
Price Drops 30%
Gone in 2 Wks 23%

Market Position

Affordability Average
Safety Very Safe

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Plano.

Total ROI
-151%
on $99,800 invested
Annual ROI
NaN%
compounded
Total Return
-$150,518
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$2,624
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y1104kY2108kY3113kY4118kY5123k
Appreciation
$0
Cash Flow
-$150,518
Final Equity
$123,194

* Estimates based on 0.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Plano

Property

Purchase Price$499,000
Monthly Rent$1,291
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$2,337
Monthly Cash Flow
-$28,039/ year
-28.1%
Cash-on-Cash
0.4%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$1,291
− Mortgage (P&I)$2,523
− Property Tax$499
− Insurance$125
− Maintenance$416
− Vacancy Loss$65
= Net Cash Flow-$2,337

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$99,800
Loan Amount
$399,200
Total Monthly Expenses
$3,628
Gross Yield
3.1%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026