Richardson
Investment Analysis

Richardson, TX
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

Share:
41
Investment Score
Hold
Cap Rate (Est.)
2.1%
Gross Yield
3.4%
P/R Ratio
22.2x
YoY Growth
-3.3%
Median Home Price
$450,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$1,291/mo
Median Income
$95,170
Population
117,445

Investment Breakdown

33
Value Score
17
Growth Score
77
Safety Score
47
Afford Score

Richardson has a price-to-rent ratio of 22.2x, which indicates renting and buying are roughly equal.

The estimated cap rate of 2.1% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of -3.3% suggests a cooling market.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $1,291
Annual Gross $15,492

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$563
Insurance (~0.5%) -$188
Maintenance (~1%) -$375
Est. Net Cash Flow $166/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Richardson Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$429K2027$478Kโ–ฒ 11.3%2028$496Kโ–ฒ 15.6%20232024Now
$521K$401K
Current
$450K
2026
Projected
$478K
โ†‘ 11.3% by 2027
Projected
$496K
โ†‘ 15.6% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+5.4%
Confidence:Moderate
Rยฒ:0.63
โ–ผ

For anyone asking "will Richardson home prices drop," the data suggests a period of stabilization rather than a steep correction. The recent -2.6% YoY price change signals a cooling phase after a robust 5-year run that saw prices climb 32.2%. This moderation is a natural response to affordability pressures, highlighted by a price-to-rent ratio of 24.6x, which is notably above the national average and currently tilts the "Buy/Rent Verdict" toward RENT. With a market temperature of 62/100, the pace is balanced but leaning slightly in favor of tenants. This Richardson housing market forecast anticipates that while explosive growth is unlikely, the strong "A" risk grade and Richardson's position within the dynamic Dallas-Fort Worth metroplex provide a solid floor for valuations. The local economy, anchored by the Telecom Corridor and a diverse tech and education sector, continues to support housing demand, even as higher interest rates test buyer endurance.

Looking toward 2026-2028, the Richardson real estate market is poised for steady, albeit more subdued, appreciation. The 5-year CAGR of 5.7% sets a realistic benchmark for future performance, suggesting that prices will likely trend upward at a single-digit pace rather than double-digit surges. Days on market currently sit at 45, indicating that well-priced homes still attract attention, but the frenzy has subsided. For the Richardson 2027 outlook, affordability will remain a central theme. As the area continues to benefit from corporate relocations and infrastructure improvements, demand should persist, but the high price-to-rent ratio may cap how quickly prices can climb without wage growth catching up. Ultimately, while the market is unlikely to crash, it is also not primed for the rapid gains of the recent past. A balanced assessment suggests Richardson will offer a more stable, less volatile environment compared to the national average, appealing to long-term homeowners rather than short-term speculators.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
2.0%
5yr CAGR
+5.4%

Job Market

Unemployment 4.0%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +3.2%

Healthcare

70
Score
Good

Risk Factors

Declining Prices

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 97.7%
Months Supply 3.4
Price Drops 26%
Gone in 2 Wks 26%

Market Position

Affordability Average
Safety Very Safe

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Richardson.

Total ROI
-142%
on $90,000 invested
Annual ROI
NaN%
compounded
Total Return
-$127,835
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$2,245
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y194kY298kY3102kY4106kY5111k
Appreciation
$0
Cash Flow
-$127,835
Final Equity
$111,097

* Estimates based on 0.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Richardson

Property

Purchase Price$450,000
Monthly Rent$1,291
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$1,999
Monthly Cash Flow
-$23,988/ year
-26.7%
Cash-on-Cash
0.7%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$1,291
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$2,275
โˆ’ Property Tax$450
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$375
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$65
= Net Cash Flow-$1,999

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$90,000
Loan Amount
$360,000
Total Monthly Expenses
$3,290
Gross Yield
3.4%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026