Salt Lake City
Investment Analysis

Salt Lake City, UT
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

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39
Investment Score
Rent
Cap Rate (Est.)
1.8%
Gross Yield
3.1%
P/R Ratio
29.0x
YoY Growth
+2.0%
Median Home Price
$521,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$1,338/mo
Median Income
$72,951
Population
209,606

Investment Breakdown

13
Value Score
70
Growth Score
32
Safety Score
54
Afford Score

Salt Lake City has a price-to-rent ratio of 29.0x, which indicates renting is more favorable than buying.

The estimated cap rate of 1.8% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of +2.0% indicates stable market conditions.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $1,338
Annual Gross $16,056

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$651
Insurance (~0.5%) -$217
Maintenance (~1%) -$434
Est. Net Cash Flow $36/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Salt Lake City Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$557K2027$570Kโ–ฒ 2.2%2028$581Kโ–ฒ 4.2%20232024Now
$610K$498K
Current
$521K
2026
Projected
$570K
โ†‘ 2.2% by 2027
Projected
$581K
โ†‘ 4.2% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+4.7%
Confidence:Low
Rยฒ:0.38
โ–ผ

When evaluating the Salt Lake City housing market forecast for 2026-2028, the data points toward a period of normalization rather than explosive growth. The current median home price of $557,481 has only seen a modest 1.6% year-over-year change, a significant cooldown from the 28.0% five-year appreciation. With a price-to-rent ratio of 31.6xโ€”well above the national average of 18xโ€”the financial math strongly favors renting over buying in the short term. The market temperature, while still active at 63/100, suggests a balanced environment where sellers can transact but must price realistically.

Addressing the question of will Salt Lake City home prices drop, the outlook is nuanced. The RISK GRADE: A indicates a fundamentally strong economy anchored by tech and finance, which should provide a floor for valuations. However, affordability constraints and the high price-to-rent ratio may suppress demand, leading to stagnation rather than a sharp decline. The 5.0% five-year CAGR offers a more realistic baseline for future appreciation, aligning with historical norms rather than the pandemic-era surge. As we look toward Salt Lake City real estate Salt Lake City 2027, the 39 days on market suggests properties are still moving, but buyers have regained leverage.

Ultimately, the forecast for 2026-2028 hinges on local economic resilience and inventory levels. Salt Lake Cityโ€™s continued in-migration and strong job market will likely prevent a major correction, but the era of double-digit annual gains appears over. For prospective buyers, patience may be rewarded as the market finds equilibrium; for investors, the median rent of $1,338 relative to high purchase prices signals better opportunities elsewhere. The outlook remains stable but cautious, with growth likely tracking closer to historical averages.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
1.7%
5yr CAGR
+4.7%

Job Market

Unemployment 2.8%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +3.5%

Healthcare

81
Score
Excellent

Risk Factors

High Crime Area
Overvalued Market

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 98.0%
Months Supply 3.7
Price Drops 26%
Gone in 2 Wks 30%

Market Position

Affordability Below Avg
Safety Higher Risk

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Salt Lake City.

Total ROI
-98%
on $104,200 invested
Annual ROI
-55.7%
compounded
Total Return
-$102,418
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$2,749
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y1119kY2134kY3150kY4167kY5184k
Appreciation
$55,355
Cash Flow
-$157,773
Final Equity
$183,980

* Estimates based on 2.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Salt Lake City

Property

Purchase Price$521,000
Monthly Rent$1,338
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$2,444
Monthly Cash Flow
-$29,322/ year
-28.1%
Cash-on-Cash
0.4%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$1,338
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$2,634
โˆ’ Property Tax$521
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$434
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$67
= Net Cash Flow-$2,444

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$104,200
Loan Amount
$416,800
Total Monthly Expenses
$3,782
Gross Yield
3.1%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026