San Antonio
Investment Analysis

San Antonio, TX
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

Share:
40
Investment Score
Strong Buy
Cap Rate (Est.)
3.3%
Gross Yield
5.4%
P/R Ratio
14.0x
YoY Growth
-3.1%
Median Home Price
$264,900
Average Rent (1BR)
$1,197/mo
Median Income
$62,322
Population
1,495,312

Investment Breakdown

58
Value Score
19
Growth Score
20
Safety Score
56
Afford Score

San Antonio has a price-to-rent ratio of 14.0x, which indicates buying is significantly better than renting.

The estimated cap rate of 3.3% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of -3.1% suggests a cooling market.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $1,197
Annual Gross $14,364

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$331
Insurance (~0.5%) -$110
Maintenance (~1%) -$221
Est. Net Cash Flow $535/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ San Antonio Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$245K2027$264Kโ–ฒ 7.5%2028$267Kโ–ฒ 8.9%20232024Now
$280K$233K
Current
$265K
2026
Projected
$264K
โ†‘ 7.5% by 2027
Projected
$267K
โ†‘ 8.9% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+3.0%
Confidence:Low
Rยฒ:0.12
โ–ผ

For those evaluating a San Antonio housing market forecast through 2028, the data suggests a period of stabilization rather than dramatic shifts. Current median prices sit at $245,251, with a recent YoY price change of -2.9% indicating a slight cooling following the post-pandemic surge. However, the fundamental demand driver remains strong: the city's military and healthcare sectors continue to anchor employment, while outward migration from higher-cost coastal markets sustains buyer interest. Affordability is a key differentiator here; with a price-to-rent ratio of 15.4xโ€”notably below the national average of 18xโ€”San Antonio remains accessible for first-time buyers and investors alike, supporting a floor for prices despite broader economic headwinds.

When asking will San Antonio home prices drop significantly, the answer likely lies in the balance of local supply and economic momentum. The current Days on Market of 67 days signals a market that is neither frenzied nor stagnant, while the 5-year CAGR of 3.2% suggests sustainable, albeit modest, long-term appreciation. Looking ahead to San Antonio real estate San Antonio 2027, factors like infrastructure investments in the booming medical district and continued expansion of the tech corridor in nearby Austin will likely spill over, bolstering values. However, rising insurance costs and property taxes in Texas remain a drag on affordability. The Market Temperature score of 55/100 and a Risk Grade of A- characterize this as a balanced, lower-volatility environment. Ultimately, San Antonio appears poised for steady, single-digit growth, making it a solid hold for patient capital rather than a venue for speculative flipping.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
3.4%
5yr CAGR
+3%

Job Market

Unemployment 4.0%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +3.2%

Healthcare

70
Score
Good

Risk Factors

High Crime Area
Declining Prices

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 96.0%
Months Supply 7.0
Price Drops 31%
Gone in 2 Wks 15%

Market Position

Affordability Below Avg
Safety Higher Risk

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for San Antonio.

Total ROI
-91%
on $52,980 invested
Annual ROI
-37.7%
compounded
Total Return
-$48,008
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$907
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y155kY257kY360kY463kY565k
Appreciation
$0
Cash Flow
-$48,008
Final Equity
$65,399

* Estimates based on 0.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for San Antonio

Property

Purchase Price$264,900
Monthly Rent$1,197
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$813
Monthly Cash Flow
-$9,756/ year
-18.4%
Cash-on-Cash
2.4%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$1,197
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$1,339
โˆ’ Property Tax$265
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$221
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$60
= Net Cash Flow-$813

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$52,980
Loan Amount
$211,920
Total Monthly Expenses
$2,010
Gross Yield
5.4%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026