Tanaina CDP
Investment Analysis

Tanaina CDP, AK
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

Share:
60
Investment Score
Strong Buy
Cap Rate (Est.)
3.2%
Gross Yield
5.3%
P/R Ratio
0.0x
YoY Growth
+0.0%
Median Home Price
$298,500
Average Rent (1BR)
$1,306/mo
Median Income
$95,587
Population
9,738

Investment Breakdown

100
Value Score
50
Growth Score
16
Safety Score
46
Afford Score

Tanaina CDP has a price-to-rent ratio of 0.0x, which indicates buying is significantly better than renting.

The estimated cap rate of 3.2% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of +0.0% suggests a cooling market.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $1,306
Annual Gross $15,672

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$373
Insurance (~0.5%) -$124
Maintenance (~1%) -$249
Est. Net Cash Flow $560/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tanaina CDP Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$405K2027$413Kโ–ฒ 1.8%2028$427Kโ–ฒ 5.5%20232024Now
$449K$339K
Current
$299K
2026
Projected
$413K
โ†‘ 1.8% by 2027
Projected
$427K
โ†‘ 5.5% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+5.4%
Confidence:High
Rยฒ:0.94
โ–ผ

Looking ahead to the 2026-2028 period, our Tanaina CDP housing market forecast suggests a period of consolidation rather than rapid growth. The market is currently balanced, with a Market Temperature of 50/100, reflecting a significant cooldown from the momentum seen in previous years. While the 5-Year Price Change of 31.2% demonstrates strong historical appreciation, the current YoY Price Change of 0.0% signals that price growth has effectively stalled. This plateau, combined with a Risk Grade of C, indicates that external economic factors are creating headwinds. For potential buyers asking will Tanaina CDP home prices drop, the data points to stability rather than a sharp decline, as the market finds a new equilibrium.

Affordability will be a key determinant of the market's trajectory in 2026 and 2027. With a Price-to-Rent Ratio of 19.0x, which sits slightly above the national average, the financial incentive to buy versus rent is marginal, potentially capping buyer demand. The local economy, heavily influenced by Alaska's broader resource and tourism sectors, will need to provide stable employment to support the current median home price of $298,500. While the Days on Market of 35 indicates that properties are still selling at a reasonable pace, the Buy/Rent Verdict of NEUTRAL suggests that neither renters nor buyers have a distinct advantage. For those evaluating Tanaina CDP real estate Tanaina CDP 2027 opportunities, the outlook is one of cautious stability, with appreciation likely to track closely with inflation and local wage growth rather than the rapid gains of the past five years.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
2.3%
5yr CAGR
+5.4%

Job Market

Unemployment 4.2%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) -0.5%

Healthcare

68
Score
Below Avg

Risk Factors

High Crime Area
Low Inventory

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 99.9%
Months Supply 2.6
Price Drops 13%
Gone in 2 Wks 0%

Market Position

Affordability Average
Safety Higher Risk

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Tanaina CDP.

Total ROI
-95%
on $59,700 invested
Annual ROI
-45.3%
compounded
Total Return
-$56,767
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$1,062
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y162kY265kY368kY471kY574k
Appreciation
$0
Cash Flow
-$56,767
Final Equity
$73,694

* Estimates based on 0.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Tanaina CDP

Property

Purchase Price$298,500
Monthly Rent$1,306
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$941
Monthly Cash Flow
-$11,291/ year
-18.9%
Cash-on-Cash
2.3%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$1,306
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$1,509
โˆ’ Property Tax$299
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$249
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$65
= Net Cash Flow-$941

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$59,700
Loan Amount
$238,800
Total Monthly Expenses
$2,247
Gross Yield
5.3%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026