Topeka
Investment Analysis

Topeka, KS
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

Share:
56
Investment Score
Buy
Cap Rate (Est.)
2.6%
Gross Yield
4.4%
P/R Ratio
16.1x
YoY Growth
+0.6%
Median Home Price
$199,950
Average Rent (1BR)
$731/mo
Median Income
$52,417
Population
125,480

Investment Breakdown

52
Value Score
56
Growth Score
58
Safety Score
64
Afford Score

Topeka has a price-to-rent ratio of 16.1x, which indicates buying is moderately favorable.

The estimated cap rate of 2.6% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of +0.6% indicates stable market conditions.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $731
Annual Gross $8,772

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$250
Insurance (~0.5%) -$83
Maintenance (~1%) -$167
Est. Net Cash Flow $231/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Topeka Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$184K2027$206Kโ–ฒ 11.9%2028$217Kโ–ฒ 18.1%20232024Now
$228K$155K
Current
$200K
2026
Projected
$206K
โ†‘ 11.9% by 2027
Projected
$217K
โ†‘ 18.1% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+7.1%
Confidence:High
Rยฒ:0.96
โ–ผ

For anyone asking "will Topeka home prices drop," the current data suggests a period of stabilization rather than decline. The market is showing subtle signs of cooling, with a -0.7% YoY price change and a market temperature of 68/100, moving from a frenzied pace to a more sustainable rhythm. However, the foundation remains solid; the 5-year price change of 41.8% indicates strong recent gains, and a price-to-rent ratio of 18.1x sits right at the national average, signaling that buying isn't drastically overvalued compared to renting. With homes selling in just 25 days, demand hasn't evaporated, but buyers are regaining negotiating power.

This Topeka housing market forecast for 2026-2028 points toward modest, single-digit appreciation, likely tracking closer to the historical 5-year CAGR of 7.1% rather than the recent boom. Affordability will be a key driver; with a median price of $184,037, Topeka remains one of the most accessible markets in the Midwest, which should prevent any severe downturns. Local economic stability, anchored by state government and healthcare sectors, provides a steady employment base that supports housing demand without the volatility of boom-and-bust tech hubs. While some metros face sharp corrections, Topeka's "A" risk grade and neutral buy/rent verdict suggest resilience. For those analyzing "Topeka real estate Topeka 2027," the outlook is one of measured growth, where the market finds its equilibrium after a period of exceptional gains.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
2.6%
5yr CAGR
+7.1%

Job Market

Unemployment 2.9%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +1.1%

Healthcare

74
Score
Good

Risk Factors

Low Risk Profile

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 101.0%
Months Supply 2.0
Price Drops 31%
Gone in 2 Wks 32%

Market Position

Affordability Below Avg
Safety Average

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Topeka.

Total ROI
-102%
on $39,990 invested
Annual ROI
NaN%
compounded
Total Return
-$40,818
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$848
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y143kY246kY349kY452kY556k
Appreciation
$6,173
Cash Flow
-$46,991
Final Equity
$55,537

* Estimates based on 0.6% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Topeka

Property

Purchase Price$199,950
Monthly Rent$731
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$808
Monthly Cash Flow
-$9,698/ year
-24.3%
Cash-on-Cash
1.2%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$731
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$1,011
โˆ’ Property Tax$200
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$167
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$37
= Net Cash Flow-$808

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$39,990
Loan Amount
$159,960
Total Monthly Expenses
$1,539
Gross Yield
4.4%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026