Trenton
Investment Analysis

Trenton, NJ
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

Share:
58
Investment Score
Strong Buy
Cap Rate (Est.)
4.9%
Gross Yield
8.1%
P/R Ratio
14.2x
YoY Growth
-0.1%
Median Home Price
$229,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$1,550/mo
Median Income
$49,117
Population
89,607

Investment Breakdown

57
Value Score
49
Growth Score
80
Safety Score
48
Afford Score

Trenton has a price-to-rent ratio of 14.2x, which indicates buying is significantly better than renting.

The estimated cap rate of 4.9% is around the national average.

Year-over-year price growth of -0.1% suggests a cooling market.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $1,550
Annual Gross $18,600

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$286
Insurance (~0.5%) -$95
Maintenance (~1%) -$191
Est. Net Cash Flow $978/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Trenton Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$343K2027$390Kโ–ฒ 13.8%2028$416Kโ–ฒ 21.4%20232024Now
$437K$276K
Current
$229K
2026
Projected
$390K
โ†‘ 13.8% by 2027
Projected
$416K
โ†‘ 21.4% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+8.5%
Confidence:High
Rยฒ:0.97
โ–ผ

Looking at the Trenton housing market forecast for 2026-2028, the data suggests a period of stabilization rather than dramatic shifts. After a substantial 52.2% price surge over the past five years, the market is now showing signs of cooling, with a slight YoY price change of -0.4%. This indicates that the rapid appreciation phase is likely over. The current median home price of $342,951 sits within a 5-year range of $225,399 โ€“ $345,809, suggesting we may be testing the upper limits of recent valuation. For potential buyers asking will Trenton home prices drop, the current Price-to-Rent Ratio of 16.1xโ€”below the national average of 18xโ€”supports a neutral buy/rent verdict, making the decision more about personal financial strategy than market timing.

The local economy will be a key driver for Trenton real estate in Trenton 2027. Proximity to major employment hubs like Philadelphia and New York, combined with state government jobs, provides a stable foundation. However, affordability remains a concern; a median rent of $1,550/mo is relatively accessible, but the gap between rent and ownership costs is narrowing. With a market temperature of 66/100 and a strong Risk Grade of A, the area is viewed as a safe investment, though not one poised for explosive growth. Days on market holding steady at 29 days reflects healthy, consistent demand without the frenetic bidding wars of previous years. Future price growth will likely track closer to the 5-year CAGR of 8.6% rather than the recent negative dip, but affordability constraints could cap appreciation if wage growth doesnโ€™t keep pace.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
2.9%
5yr CAGR
+8.5%

Job Market

Unemployment 4.2%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +1.2%

Healthcare

81
Score
Excellent

Risk Factors

Declining Prices

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 98.3%
Months Supply 5.3
Price Drops 21%
Gone in 2 Wks 18%

Market Position

Affordability Average
Safety Very Safe

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Trenton.

Total ROI
-20%
on $45,800 invested
Annual ROI
-4.5%
compounded
Total Return
-$9,383
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$294
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y148kY250kY352kY454kY557k
Appreciation
$0
Cash Flow
-$9,383
Final Equity
$56,536

* Estimates based on 0.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Trenton

Property

Purchase Price$229,000
Monthly Rent$1,550
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$230
Monthly Cash Flow
-$2,763/ year
-6.0%
Cash-on-Cash
4.9%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$1,550
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$1,158
โˆ’ Property Tax$229
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$191
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$78
= Net Cash Flow-$230

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$45,800
Loan Amount
$183,200
Total Monthly Expenses
$1,780
Gross Yield
8.1%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026