Vallejo
Investment Analysis

Vallejo, CA
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

Share:
30
Investment Score
Buy
Cap Rate (Est.)
2.6%
Gross Yield
4.3%
P/R Ratio
18.6x
YoY Growth
-5.5%
Median Home Price
$515,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$1,853/mo
Median Income
$91,800
Population
122,796

Investment Breakdown

44
Value Score
0
Growth Score
32
Safety Score
41
Afford Score

Vallejo has a price-to-rent ratio of 18.6x, which indicates buying is moderately favorable.

The estimated cap rate of 2.6% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of -5.5% suggests a cooling market.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $1,853
Annual Gross $22,236

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$644
Insurance (~0.5%) -$215
Maintenance (~1%) -$429
Est. Net Cash Flow $566/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Vallejo Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$513K2027$543Kโ–ฒ 5.9%2028$545Kโ–ฒ 6.3%20232024Now
$580K$487K
Current
$515K
2026
Projected
$543K
โ†‘ 5.9% by 2027
Projected
$545K
โ†‘ 6.3% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+1.6%
Confidence:Low
Rยฒ:0.02
โ–ผ

The Vallejo housing market forecast for 2026-2028 suggests a period of stabilization rather than dramatic growth, as the recent -5.4% YoY price correction signals a cooling phase. With a current median home price of $513,033 and a price-to-rent ratio of 20.6x, the market is leaning toward renting as the more financially prudent choice in the short term. The 5-year CAGR of just 1.9% indicates that long-term appreciation has been modest, and given the current market temperature of 63/100, we expect inventory levels to slowly increase, keeping upward pressure on prices muted.

Looking ahead to 2027 and 2028, affordability will be the key driver for Vallejo real estate. Vallejo 2027 will likely be defined by the tension between its relative value compared to the Bay Area core and local economic headwinds. While the Risk Grade of B+ suggests a stable investment environment, potential buyers asking "will Vallejo home prices drop" further should consider that the 5-year price range of $466,722 โ€“ $578,478 provides a strong floor. However, with days on market averaging 40, sellers must price realistically. The verdict to rent rather than buy reflects this equilibrium; while prices aren't poised to crash, significant appreciation seems unlikely without a broader regional economic uplift.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
2.5%
5yr CAGR
+1.6%

Job Market

Unemployment 5.2%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +1.5%

Healthcare

78
Score
Good

Risk Factors

High Crime Area
Declining Prices

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 97.9%
Months Supply 3.6
Price Drops 23%
Gone in 2 Wks 20%

Market Position

Affordability Average
Safety Higher Risk

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Vallejo.

Total ROI
-119%
on $103,000 invested
Annual ROI
NaN%
compounded
Total Return
-$122,890
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$2,213
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y1107kY2112kY3117kY4122kY5127k
Appreciation
$0
Cash Flow
-$122,890
Final Equity
$127,144

* Estimates based on 0.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Vallejo

Property

Purchase Price$515,000
Monthly Rent$1,853
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$1,913
Monthly Cash Flow
-$22,955/ year
-22.3%
Cash-on-Cash
1.6%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$1,853
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$2,604
โˆ’ Property Tax$515
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$429
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$93
= Net Cash Flow-$1,913

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$103,000
Loan Amount
$412,000
Total Monthly Expenses
$3,766
Gross Yield
4.3%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026