Bend
Investment Analysis

Bend, OR
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

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29
Investment Score
Rent
Cap Rate (Est.)
1.4%
Gross Yield
2.3%
P/R Ratio
36.9x
YoY Growth
-3.2%
Median Home Price
$675,900
Average Rent (1BR)
$1,283/mo
Median Income
$95,527
Population
104,554

Investment Breakdown

0
Value Score
18
Growth Score
77
Safety Score
44
Afford Score

Bend has a price-to-rent ratio of 36.9x, which indicates renting is more favorable than buying.

The estimated cap rate of 1.4% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of -3.2% suggests a cooling market.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $1,283
Annual Gross $15,396

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$845
Insurance (~0.5%) -$282
Maintenance (~1%) -$563
Est. Net Cash Flow -$407/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Bend Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$716K2027$759Kโ–ฒ 6.0%2028$772Kโ–ฒ 7.8%20232024Now
$810K$663K
Current
$676K
2026
Projected
$759K
โ†‘ 6.0% by 2027
Projected
$772K
โ†‘ 7.8% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+4.9%
Confidence:Low
Rยฒ:0.21
โ–ผ

Looking at the Bend housing market forecast for 2026-2028, the data suggests a period of stabilization rather than significant appreciation. With a current median home price of $716,155 and a recent YoY price change of -2.8%, the explosive growth seen in prior years has clearly cooled. The 5-year CAGR of 5.4% is more sustainable, but the market's temperature score of 56/100 indicates a balanced, slightly seller-favorable environment that lacks the frenetic energy of the recent past. For those asking if will Bend home prices drop further, the risk grade of A- provides some confidence in market stability, suggesting that while major gains are unlikely, a sharp crash is also improbable given the area's desirability and constrained inventory.

The core challenge for the Bend real estate Bend 2027 outlook is affordability, highlighted by the extreme price-to-rent ratio of 41.1x, far above the national average of 18x. This disparity, combined with a "RENT" verdict, signals that the financial math still favors renting over buying for the foreseeable future, which will cap buyer demand. Local economic factors, including continued in-migration from higher-cost states and a robust remote-work economy, will provide a floor for prices, but the 65 days on market suggests buyers have more time to negotiate. Ultimately, the forecast points to a market finding its footing; expect modest price fluctuations and a gradual return to historical norms, making it a less speculative and more fundamentally driven market by 2028.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
1.3%
5yr CAGR
+4.9%

Job Market

Unemployment 4.0%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +1.8%

Healthcare

79
Score
Good

Risk Factors

Overvalued Market
Declining Prices

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 98.0%
Months Supply 3.4
Price Drops 33%
Gone in 2 Wks 18%

Market Position

Affordability Average
Safety Very Safe

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Bend.

Total ROI
-172%
on $135,180 invested
Annual ROI
NaN%
compounded
Total Return
-$232,908
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$3,996
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y1141kY2147kY3153kY4160kY5167k
Appreciation
$0
Cash Flow
-$232,908
Final Equity
$166,867

* Estimates based on 0.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Bend

Property

Purchase Price$675,900
Monthly Rent$1,283
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$3,563
Monthly Cash Flow
-$42,756/ year
-31.6%
Cash-on-Cash
-0.3%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$1,283
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$3,418
โˆ’ Property Tax$676
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$563
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$64
= Net Cash Flow-$3,563

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$135,180
Loan Amount
$540,720
Total Monthly Expenses
$4,846
Gross Yield
2.3%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026