Centennial
Investment Analysis

Centennial, CO
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

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32
Investment Score
Rent
Cap Rate (Est.)
1.9%
Gross Yield
3.2%
P/R Ratio
25.6x
YoY Growth
-3.1%
Median Home Price
$605,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$1,635/mo
Median Income
$121,531
Population
106,873

Investment Breakdown

23
Value Score
19
Growth Score
51
Safety Score
45
Afford Score

Centennial has a price-to-rent ratio of 25.6x, which indicates renting is more favorable than buying.

The estimated cap rate of 1.9% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of -3.1% suggests a cooling market.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $1,635
Annual Gross $19,620

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$756
Insurance (~0.5%) -$252
Maintenance (~1%) -$504
Est. Net Cash Flow $123/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Centennial Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$629K2027$671Kโ–ฒ 6.6%2028$684Kโ–ฒ 8.8%20232024Now
$719K$589K
Current
$605K
2026
Projected
$671K
โ†‘ 6.6% by 2027
Projected
$684K
โ†‘ 8.8% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+3.9%
Confidence:Low
Rยฒ:0.38
โ–ผ

For those eyeing the Centennial housing market forecast through 2026-2028, the data suggests a period of stabilization rather than explosive growth. The current median home price sits at $629,310, having already seen a slight correction with a -2.8% year-over-year price change. This cooling is a direct response to affordability pressures, highlighted by a price-to-rent ratio of 28.5x, which is significantly higher than the national average. With a market temperature of 61/100 and a "RENT" verdict, buyers are facing a challenging landscape where monthly carrying costs are far more expensive than leasing. The 48 days on market indicates that while properties aren't flying off the shelves instantly, demand hasn't evaporated entirely, suggesting a balanced but cautious environment.

When asking will Centennial home prices drop further, the answer lies in local economic fundamentals. The 5-year price change of 22.5% shows strong historical appreciation, but the 5-year CAGR of 4.1% provides a more realistic baseline for future growth. Factors influencing the Centennial real estate Centennial 2027 outlook include sustained population migration to the Denver-Aurora-Lakewood metro area, which continues to bolster demand despite higher interest rates. However, affordability constraints will likely cap price surges. A risk grade of A indicates a stable market with low volatility, meaning drastic crashes are unlikely even if prices soften. The price range over the last five years, from $513,898 to $665,104, establishes a clear support and resistance zone that will likely dictate trading patterns.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
1.8%
5yr CAGR
+3.9%

Job Market

Unemployment 3.4%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +2.8%

Healthcare

82
Score
Excellent

Risk Factors

Overvalued Market
Declining Prices

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 98.8%
Months Supply 2.6
Price Drops 38%
Gone in 2 Wks 37%

Market Position

Affordability Average
Safety Average

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Centennial.

Total ROI
-147%
on $121,000 invested
Annual ROI
NaN%
compounded
Total Return
-$178,143
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$3,115
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y1126kY2131kY3137kY4143kY5149k
Appreciation
$0
Cash Flow
-$178,143
Final Equity
$149,363

* Estimates based on 0.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Centennial

Property

Purchase Price$605,000
Monthly Rent$1,635
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$2,740
Monthly Cash Flow
-$32,882/ year
-27.2%
Cash-on-Cash
0.6%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$1,635
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$3,059
โˆ’ Property Tax$605
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$504
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$82
= Net Cash Flow-$2,740

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$121,000
Loan Amount
$484,000
Total Monthly Expenses
$4,375
Gross Yield
3.2%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026