Bristol
Investment Analysis

Bristol, CT
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

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65
Investment Score
Strong Buy
Cap Rate (Est.)
3.7%
Gross Yield
6.1%
P/R Ratio
14.6x
YoY Growth
+3.9%
Median Home Price
$330,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$1,673/mo
Median Income
$83,458
Population
61,129

Investment Breakdown

56
Value Score
89
Growth Score
82
Safety Score
35
Afford Score

Bristol has a price-to-rent ratio of 14.6x, which indicates buying is significantly better than renting.

The estimated cap rate of 3.7% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of +3.9% indicates stable market conditions.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $1,673
Annual Gross $20,076

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$413
Insurance (~0.5%) -$138
Maintenance (~1%) -$275
Est. Net Cash Flow $848/mo

Price Forecast 2026–2028

🔮 Bristol Price Forecast 20262028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis · Statistical projection
📈 Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$327K2027$361K 10.2%2028$386K 17.9%20232024Now
$405K$244K
Current
$330K
2026
Projected
$361K
10.2% by 2027
Projected
$386K
17.9% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+9.1%
Confidence:High
R²:0.98

Looking ahead to the 2026-2028 period, our Bristol housing market forecast suggests a period of stabilization rather than explosive growth. After a remarkable 56.7% five-year price surge, the market has hit a point of equilibrium, evidenced by a flat 0.0% year-over-year price change. The current market temperature of 50/100 and a risk grade of C indicate that the dramatic appreciation of the past is cooling. For prospective buyers wondering will Bristol home prices drop, the data points to a plateau instead. Affordability will be a key theme, as the median home price of $330,000 is becoming a stretch for many in the local economy.

Local economic factors will heavily influence this trajectory. Bristol's stable employment base, anchored by healthcare and manufacturing, provides a floor for demand, but limited new construction and broader economic headwinds may cap price gains. The price-to-rent ratio of 16.4x presents a relatively balanced scenario for investors compared to the national average, suggesting that rental demand will remain steady. With homes averaging 35 days on market, properties are still moving, but without the frantic bidding wars seen in recent years. For those exploring Bristol real estate Bristol 2027 opportunities, the market presents a more measured environment.

Ultimately, the outlook for Bristol is one of cautious stability. The five-year CAGR of 9.2% is unsustainable long-term, and we anticipate price growth aligning more closely with historical inflation norms. The median rent of $1,673/month will likely see modest increases, keeping the NEUTRAL buy/rent verdict in place for the immediate future. While not poised for the dramatic gains of the past, Bristol's fundamentals—relative affordability, decent commute to larger metros, and community appeal—should prevent any significant downturn. The market is expected to mature, offering a healthier, more predictable environment for both homeowners and investors through 2028.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
3.4%
5yr CAGR
+9.1%

Job Market

Unemployment 4.1%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +0.8%

Healthcare

85
Score
Excellent

Risk Factors

Low Risk Profile

Market Activity

Source: Redfin · 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 100.9%
Months Supply 2.3
Price Drops 24%
Gone in 2 Wks 36%

Market Position

Affordability Average
Safety Very Safe

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Bristol.

Total ROI
31%
on $66,000 invested
Annual ROI
5.5%
compounded
Total Return
$20,138
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$957
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y181kY297kY3114kY4132kY5150k
Appreciation
$68,608
Cash Flow
-$48,470
Final Equity
$150,079

* Estimates based on 3.9% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Bristol

Property

Purchase Price$330,000
Monthly Rent$1,673
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$809
Monthly Cash Flow
-$9,712/ year
-14.7%
Cash-on-Cash
3.1%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$1,673
− Mortgage (P&I)$1,669
− Property Tax$330
− Insurance$125
− Maintenance$275
− Vacancy Loss$84
= Net Cash Flow-$809

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$66,000
Loan Amount
$264,000
Total Monthly Expenses
$2,482
Gross Yield
6.1%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026