Dothan
Investment Analysis

Dothan, AL
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

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59
Investment Score
Buy
Cap Rate (Est.)
2.4%
Gross Yield
3.9%
P/R Ratio
18.4x
YoY Growth
+3.0%
Median Home Price
$225,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$739/mo
Median Income
$54,598
Population
71,577

Investment Breakdown

45
Value Score
80
Growth Score
55
Safety Score
62
Afford Score

Dothan has a price-to-rent ratio of 18.4x, which indicates buying is moderately favorable.

The estimated cap rate of 2.4% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of +3.0% indicates stable market conditions.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $739
Annual Gross $8,868

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$281
Insurance (~0.5%) -$94
Maintenance (~1%) -$188
Est. Net Cash Flow $177/mo

Price Forecast 2026–2028

🔮 Dothan Price Forecast 20262028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis · Statistical projection
📈 Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$199K2027$213K 7.1%2028$223K 12.2%20232024Now
$234K$169K
Current
$225K
2026
Projected
$213K
7.1% by 2027
Projected
$223K
12.2% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+6.5%
Confidence:High
R²:0.94

Looking at the Dothan housing market forecast through 2028, the data paints a picture of steady but maturing growth. The current median home price of $198,996 reflects a 5-year CAGR of 6.5%, yet the immediate YoY price change has cooled to 2.3%. This deceleration, combined with a Price-to-Rent Ratio of 20.2x—significantly higher than the national average—suggests that home values have stretched beyond immediate rental parity. For potential buyers asking will Dothan home prices drop, the 47 days on market and a "Market Temperature" score of 61/100 indicate a balanced shift rather than a crash, but the affordability crunch is real for locals tied to the agricultural and distribution economies.

For investors specifically eyeing Dothan real estate Dothan 2027, the "RENT" verdict is clear given the low median rent of $739/mo relative to purchase prices. While Dothan’s risk grade remains an A due to stable demand from the Wiregrass region’s logistics hub, the era of high double-digit returns appears to be normalizing. The 5-year price range of $144,785 – $198,996 shows substantial appreciation, but with inventory ticking up, we expect single-digit growth through 2026-2028. Ultimately, while a sharp correction is unlikely due to solid fundamentals, the window for speculative flipping is closing, favoring long-term holders over short-term gains.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
2.6%
5yr CAGR
+6.5%

Job Market

Unemployment 3.1%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +1.8%

Healthcare

72
Score
Good

Risk Factors

Low Risk Profile

Market Activity

Source: Redfin · 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 97.1%
Months Supply 4.4
Price Drops 26%
Gone in 2 Wks 25%

Market Position

Affordability Below Avg
Safety Average

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Dothan.

Total ROI
-50%
on $45,000 invested
Annual ROI
-13%
compounded
Total Return
-$22,632
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$1,034
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y154kY262kY372kY481kY591k
Appreciation
$35,457
Cash Flow
-$58,089
Final Equity
$91,005

* Estimates based on 3.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Dothan

Property

Purchase Price$225,000
Monthly Rent$739
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$973
Monthly Cash Flow
-$11,678/ year
-26.0%
Cash-on-Cash
0.9%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$739
− Mortgage (P&I)$1,138
− Property Tax$225
− Insurance$125
− Maintenance$188
− Vacancy Loss$37
= Net Cash Flow-$973

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$45,000
Loan Amount
$180,000
Total Monthly Expenses
$1,712
Gross Yield
3.9%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026