Conway
Investment Analysis

Conway, AR
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

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52
Investment Score
Buy
Cap Rate (Est.)
3.1%
Gross Yield
5.2%
P/R Ratio
18.5x
YoY Growth
+2.2%
Median Home Price
$220,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$950/mo
Median Income
$62,886
Population
69,577

Investment Breakdown

45
Value Score
72
Growth Score
33
Safety Score
61
Afford Score

Conway has a price-to-rent ratio of 18.5x, which indicates buying is moderately favorable.

The estimated cap rate of 3.1% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of +2.2% indicates stable market conditions.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $950
Annual Gross $11,400

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$275
Insurance (~0.5%) -$92
Maintenance (~1%) -$183
Est. Net Cash Flow $400/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Conway Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$241K2027$257Kโ–ฒ 6.4%2028$267Kโ–ฒ 10.6%20232024Now
$280K$210K
Current
$220K
2026
Projected
$257K
โ†‘ 6.4% by 2027
Projected
$267K
โ†‘ 10.6% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+5.3%
Confidence:High
Rยฒ:0.90
โ–ผ

Looking at the Conway housing market forecast for 2026-2028, the data suggests a period of stabilization rather than explosive growth. The current median home price of $241,206 has seen a modest YoY price change of 1.6%, indicating a significant cooling from the 5-year price change of 30.4%. With a Price-to-Rent ratio of 19.7x, which sits above the national average, the market leans slightly in favor of renting, reflected in the "NEUTRAL" buy/rent verdict. However, the market temperature score of 64/100 and a low Days on Market of 36 days show that demand remains resilient, even if it is moderating.

When asking will Conway home prices drop, the local economic fundamentals provide a nuanced answer. Conway's economy is anchored by institutions like the University of Central Arkansas and Acxiom, which provide a steady employment base that can support housing values. However, affordability is becoming a pressure point; with a median rent of $950/mo, the gap between renting and buying is widening for many residents. Over the next three years, expect price growth to align more closely with the 5-year CAGR of 5.4% rather than the double-digit gains seen previously, as inventory slowly catches up with demand.

In the context of Conway real estate Conway 2027, the outlook is cautiously optimistic. The Risk Grade of A suggests that the market is fundamentally sound with low volatility, making it an attractive long-term hold for investors seeking stability over speculation. While rapid appreciation is unlikely, the combination of a diverse economic base and sustained, albeit slower, population growth should prevent any drastic downturns. The market is transitioning from a frenzied seller's market to a more balanced environment where buyers have slightly more leverage, but sellers can still expect reasonable offers given the low inventory levels.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
2.7%
5yr CAGR
+5.3%

Job Market

Unemployment 3.5%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +1.2%

Healthcare

65
Score
Below Avg

Risk Factors

High Crime Area

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 97.9%
Months Supply 3.5
Price Drops 11%
Gone in 2 Wks 27%

Market Position

Affordability Below Avg
Safety Higher Risk

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Conway.

Total ROI
-40%
on $44,000 invested
Annual ROI
-9.6%
compounded
Total Return
-$17,452
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$795
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y151kY257kY365kY472kY579k
Appreciation
$25,169
Cash Flow
-$42,620
Final Equity
$79,482

* Estimates based on 2.2% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Conway

Property

Purchase Price$220,000
Monthly Rent$950
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$738
Monthly Cash Flow
-$8,859/ year
-20.1%
Cash-on-Cash
2.0%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$950
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$1,112
โˆ’ Property Tax$220
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$183
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$48
= Net Cash Flow-$738

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$44,000
Loan Amount
$176,000
Total Monthly Expenses
$1,688
Gross Yield
5.2%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026