Elizabethtown
Investment Analysis

Elizabethtown, KY
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

Share:
57
Investment Score
Hold
Cap Rate (Est.)
2.1%
Gross Yield
3.5%
P/R Ratio
21.8x
YoY Growth
+2.1%
Median Home Price
$272,495
Average Rent (1BR)
$790/mo
Median Income
$56,250
Population
31,870

Investment Breakdown

35
Value Score
71
Growth Score
75
Safety Score
61
Afford Score

Elizabethtown has a price-to-rent ratio of 21.8x, which indicates renting and buying are roughly equal.

The estimated cap rate of 2.1% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of +2.1% indicates stable market conditions.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $790
Annual Gross $9,480

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$341
Insurance (~0.5%) -$114
Maintenance (~1%) -$227
Est. Net Cash Flow $109/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Elizabethtown Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$262K2027$284Kโ–ฒ 8.6%2028$297Kโ–ฒ 13.4%20232024Now
$312K$226K
Current
$272K
2026
Projected
$284K
โ†‘ 8.6% by 2027
Projected
$297K
โ†‘ 13.4% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+5.6%
Confidence:High
Rยฒ:0.94
โ–ผ

For anyone mapping out the Elizabethtown housing market forecast through 2028, the data suggests a period of stabilization rather than explosive growth. The current median home price of $262,016 has seen a modest year-over-year increase of just 0.3%, signaling a significant cooling from the post-pandemic surge. While the 5-year price change remains strong at 32.5%, the market's velocity is moderating, with homes spending an average of 35 days on the market. This shift points toward a more balanced environment where buyers regain some leverage, particularly as affordability constraints tighten. Local economic drivers, including steady employment at the manufacturing and logistics hubs near Fort Knox, will likely support prices, but the high Price-to-Rent Ratio of 24.4x suggests that purchasing power may be stretched relative to rental costs.

When asking will Elizabethtown home prices drop significantly, the answer appears to be no, thanks to the area's solid Risk Grade: A and underlying demand. However, the "RENT" verdict suggests that immediate purchasing may not be the most financially efficient move compared to the national average. The Market Temperature score of 60/100 indicates a lukewarm sentiment, likely influenced by the 5-Year CAGR of 5.7% which is healthy but moderating. For those looking at Elizabethtown real estate Elizabethtown 2027 investments, the focus should be on long-term stability rather than short-term flips. Continued population growth from the Louisville metro area spillover and the town's military ties should provide a floor for prices, preventing a sharp correction, but expect appreciation to align closer to historical norms rather than the recent highs.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
2.1%
5yr CAGR
+5.6%

Job Market

Unemployment 4.0%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +1.0%

Healthcare

66
Score
Below Avg

Risk Factors

Low Risk Profile

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 98.1%
Months Supply 8.1
Price Drops 32%
Gone in 2 Wks 17%

Market Position

Affordability Below Avg
Safety Very Safe

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Elizabethtown.

Total ROI
-85%
on $54,499 invested
Annual ROI
-31.8%
compounded
Total Return
-$46,464
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$1,352
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y163kY271kY380kY488kY598k
Appreciation
$30,432
Cash Flow
-$76,896
Final Equity
$97,706

* Estimates based on 2.1% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Elizabethtown

Property

Purchase Price$272,495
Monthly Rent$790
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$1,252
Monthly Cash Flow
-$15,023/ year
-27.6%
Cash-on-Cash
0.6%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$790
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$1,378
โˆ’ Property Tax$272
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$227
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$40
= Net Cash Flow-$1,252

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$54,499
Loan Amount
$217,996
Total Monthly Expenses
$2,042
Gross Yield
3.5%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026