Investment Breakdown
Evansville has a price-to-rent ratio of 15.0x, which indicates buying is moderately favorable.
The estimated cap rate of 4.1% is around the national average.
Year-over-year price growth of +3.9% indicates stable market conditions.
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Price Forecast 2026โ2028
๐ฎ Evansville Price Forecast 2026โ2028
When evaluating the Evansville housing market forecast for 2026-2028, the data suggests a period of stabilization rather than dramatic shifts. With a current median home price of $191,900 and a healthy price-to-rent ratio of 16.7x, the market remains more accessible than the national average. The 3.0% YoY price change indicates a significant cooling from the explosive 38.8% surge seen over the past five years, pointing toward a sustainable, moderate growth trajectory. For potential buyers asking "will Evansville home prices drop," the answer appears to be a nuanced no; while appreciation is slowing, the 25 Days on Market metric and a Market Temperature of 68/100 signal consistent demand, particularly driven by affordability relative to larger Midwest hubs.
Looking toward Evansville real estate Evansville 2027 and beyond, local economic factors will likely anchor the market. As a regional healthcare and manufacturing hub, Evansville's employment stability supports a steady flow of first-time homebuyers, keeping the rental demand strong with a median rent of $850/mo. However, the 5-year CAGR of 6.7% is unlikely to be sustained at that pace; instead, expect growth to normalize closer to the current 3.0% range as inventory gradually improves. The A risk grade underscores market resilience, but the "Neutral" buy/rent verdict suggests that while prices aren't poised for a correction, significant equity gains in the short term are less probable than in previous years. The market is maturing, offering a balanced environment for long-term holders rather than quick flips.
Job Market
Healthcare
Risk Factors
Market Activity
Market Position
Similar Markets Compare with cities of similar size & cost
Peoria
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Tuscaloosa
Showing cities with similar population (57k - 170k) and cost of living index (72 - 108)
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* Estimates based on 3.9% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.
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Investment Summary
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.
Last updated: March 2026