Evansville
Investment Analysis

Evansville, IN
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

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64
Investment Score
Buy
Cap Rate (Est.)
4.1%
Gross Yield
6.8%
P/R Ratio
15.0x
YoY Growth
+3.9%
Median Home Price
$150,750
Average Rent (1BR)
$850/mo
Median Income
$52,318
Population
113,291

Investment Breakdown

55
Value Score
89
Growth Score
54
Safety Score
60
Afford Score

Evansville has a price-to-rent ratio of 15.0x, which indicates buying is moderately favorable.

The estimated cap rate of 4.1% is around the national average.

Year-over-year price growth of +3.9% indicates stable market conditions.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $850
Annual Gross $10,200

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$188
Insurance (~0.5%) -$63
Maintenance (~1%) -$126
Est. Net Cash Flow $473/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Evansville Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$192K2027$204Kโ–ฒ 6.3%2028$214Kโ–ฒ 11.3%20232024Now
$224K$159K
Current
$151K
2026
Projected
$204K
โ†‘ 6.3% by 2027
Projected
$214K
โ†‘ 11.3% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+6.6%
Confidence:High
Rยฒ:0.97
โ–ผ

When evaluating the Evansville housing market forecast for 2026-2028, the data suggests a period of stabilization rather than dramatic shifts. With a current median home price of $191,900 and a healthy price-to-rent ratio of 16.7x, the market remains more accessible than the national average. The 3.0% YoY price change indicates a significant cooling from the explosive 38.8% surge seen over the past five years, pointing toward a sustainable, moderate growth trajectory. For potential buyers asking "will Evansville home prices drop," the answer appears to be a nuanced no; while appreciation is slowing, the 25 Days on Market metric and a Market Temperature of 68/100 signal consistent demand, particularly driven by affordability relative to larger Midwest hubs.

Looking toward Evansville real estate Evansville 2027 and beyond, local economic factors will likely anchor the market. As a regional healthcare and manufacturing hub, Evansville's employment stability supports a steady flow of first-time homebuyers, keeping the rental demand strong with a median rent of $850/mo. However, the 5-year CAGR of 6.7% is unlikely to be sustained at that pace; instead, expect growth to normalize closer to the current 3.0% range as inventory gradually improves. The A risk grade underscores market resilience, but the "Neutral" buy/rent verdict suggests that while prices aren't poised for a correction, significant equity gains in the short term are less probable than in previous years. The market is maturing, offering a balanced environment for long-term holders rather than quick flips.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
3.1%
5yr CAGR
+6.6%

Job Market

Unemployment 3.4%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +1.5%

Healthcare

70
Score
Good

Risk Factors

Low Risk Profile

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 95.3%
Months Supply 3.4
Price Drops 35%
Gone in 2 Wks 32%

Market Position

Affordability Below Avg
Safety Average

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Evansville.

Total ROI
49%
on $30,150 invested
Annual ROI
8.2%
compounded
Total Return
$14,632
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$356
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y137kY245kY352kY460kY569k
Appreciation
$31,429
Cash Flow
-$16,797
Final Equity
$68,647

* Estimates based on 3.9% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Evansville

Property

Purchase Price$150,750
Monthly Rent$850
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$356
Monthly Cash Flow
-$4,274/ year
-14.2%
Cash-on-Cash
3.2%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$850
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$762
โˆ’ Property Tax$151
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$126
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$43
= Net Cash Flow-$356

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$30,150
Loan Amount
$120,600
Total Monthly Expenses
$1,206
Gross Yield
6.8%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026