Springfield
Investment Analysis

Springfield, IL
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

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68
Investment Score
Strong Buy
Cap Rate (Est.)
3.2%
Gross Yield
5.4%
P/R Ratio
12.3x
YoY Growth
+6.8%
Median Home Price
$194,500
Average Rent (1BR)
$873/mo
Median Income
$63,849
Population
112,327

Investment Breakdown

63
Value Score
100
Growth Score
43
Safety Score
60
Afford Score

Springfield has a price-to-rent ratio of 12.3x, which indicates buying is significantly better than renting.

The estimated cap rate of 3.2% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of +6.8% shows strong appreciation momentum.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $873
Annual Gross $10,476

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$243
Insurance (~0.5%) -$81
Maintenance (~1%) -$162
Est. Net Cash Flow $387/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Springfield Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$162K2027$165Kโ–ฒ 2.1%2028$172Kโ–ฒ 6.4%20232024Now
$181K$130K
Current
$195K
2026
Projected
$165K
โ†‘ 2.1% by 2027
Projected
$172K
โ†‘ 6.4% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+5.4%
Confidence:High
Rยฒ:0.99
โ–ผ

For those wondering, "will Springfield home prices drop," the current data suggests a period of stabilization rather than a significant correction. The Springfield housing market forecast for 2026-2028 points toward modest, single-digit appreciation, anchored by a median home price of $194,500 and a price-to-rent ratio of 18.6x, which is nearly identical to the national average. This equilibrium indicates balanced conditions, with a market temperature of 50/100 and a neutral buy/rent verdict. While the zero percent year-over-year price change signals a cooling from the 5-year CAGR of 5.3%, the 35 days on market shows that well-priced homes still find buyers without excessive delays.

The local economy in Springfield, Illinois, provides a stable foundation, anchored by state government and healthcare sectors, though significant job growth is not projected. Affordability remains a key advantage, with median rent at $873/mo, making homeownership accessible for many. However, the risk grade of C suggests that external economic factors could create headwinds. When analyzing Springfield real estate Springfield 2027 trends, the 5-year price change of 29.8% indicates strong historical performance, but future growth will likely be more subdued. The market will likely favor buyers seeking long-term stability over speculative gains, with prices in the range of the recent $124,568 โ€“ $161,800 5-year low-to-high band expanding gradually.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
3.9%
5yr CAGR
+5.4%

Job Market

Unemployment 4.5%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +0.5%

Healthcare

77
Score
Good

Risk Factors

High Crime Area

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 97.9%
Months Supply 1.5
Price Drops 37%
Gone in 2 Wks 45%

Market Position

Affordability Below Avg
Safety Higher Risk

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Springfield.

Total ROI
103%
on $38,900 invested
Annual ROI
15.2%
compounded
Total Return
$40,140
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$671
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y154kY270kY386kY4104kY5124k
Appreciation
$75,756
Cash Flow
-$35,616
Final Equity
$123,775

* Estimates based on 6.8% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Springfield

Property

Purchase Price$194,500
Monthly Rent$873
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$636
Monthly Cash Flow
-$7,629/ year
-19.6%
Cash-on-Cash
2.1%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$873
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$983
โˆ’ Property Tax$195
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$162
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$44
= Net Cash Flow-$636

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$38,900
Loan Amount
$155,600
Total Monthly Expenses
$1,509
Gross Yield
5.4%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026