Gresham
Investment Analysis

Gresham, OR
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

Share:
47
Investment Score
Buy
Cap Rate (Est.)
2.4%
Gross Yield
4.0%
P/R Ratio
19.8x
YoY Growth
-0.4%
Median Home Price
$465,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$1,545/mo
Median Income
$76,205
Population
110,678

Investment Breakdown

41
Value Score
46
Growth Score
66
Safety Score
43
Afford Score

Gresham has a price-to-rent ratio of 19.8x, which indicates buying is moderately favorable.

The estimated cap rate of 2.4% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of -0.4% suggests a cooling market.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $1,545
Annual Gross $18,540

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$581
Insurance (~0.5%) -$194
Maintenance (~1%) -$388
Est. Net Cash Flow $383/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Gresham Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$458K2027$470Kโ–ฒ 2.7%2028$477Kโ–ฒ 4.1%20232024Now
$500K$419K
Current
$465K
2026
Projected
$470K
โ†‘ 2.7% by 2027
Projected
$477K
โ†‘ 4.1% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+3.0%
Confidence:Low
Rยฒ:0.35
โ–ผ

For those evaluating the Gresham housing market forecast through 2028, the current data suggests a period of stabilization rather than rapid appreciation. With a median home price of $457,669 and a recent YoY price change of -0.7%, the market is showing signs of cooling from its pandemic-era highs. The 5-year CAGR of 3.3% indicates that while long-term growth remains positive, it is moderating. Given the elevated price-to-rent ratio of 21.9x compared to the national average of 18x, Gresham real estate Gresham 2027 may see affordability constraints persist, particularly as local wage growth struggles to keep pace with historical home value increases. This dynamic leads many to ask, will Gresham home prices drop further? The data points toward a soft landing rather than a sharp correction.

The local economy in Gresham, bolstered by its proximity to Portland and diverse sectors like manufacturing and healthcare, provides a stable foundation, but affordability is becoming a key friction point. With a market temperature of 64/100 and days on market averaging 36, buyer urgency has dampened compared to the frenetic pace of 2021. The "RENT" verdict aligns with the current price-to-rent ratio, suggesting that for potential buyers, locking in a lease might be more financially prudent in the short term. However, the strong risk grade of A and the 5-year price change of 18.1% indicate that Gresham remains a desirable location with solid fundamentals. Looking ahead to 2026-2028, expect a balanced market where inventory levels dictate pricing power, with modest fluctuations around the current median.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
2.4%
5yr CAGR
+3%

Job Market

Unemployment 4.0%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +1.8%

Healthcare

79
Score
Good

Risk Factors

Declining Prices

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 99.2%
Months Supply 2.5
Price Drops 32%
Gone in 2 Wks 32%

Market Position

Affordability Average
Safety Average

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Gresham.

Total ROI
-128%
on $93,000 invested
Annual ROI
NaN%
compounded
Total Return
-$118,945
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$2,120
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y197kY2101kY3105kY4110kY5115k
Appreciation
$0
Cash Flow
-$118,945
Final Equity
$114,800

* Estimates based on 0.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Gresham

Property

Purchase Price$465,000
Monthly Rent$1,545
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$1,861
Monthly Cash Flow
-$22,333/ year
-24.0%
Cash-on-Cash
1.3%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$1,545
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$2,351
โˆ’ Property Tax$465
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$388
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$77
= Net Cash Flow-$1,861

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$93,000
Loan Amount
$372,000
Total Monthly Expenses
$3,406
Gross Yield
4.0%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026