Johns Creek
Investment Analysis

Johns Creek, GA
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

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38
Investment Score
Rent
Cap Rate (Est.)
1.5%
Gross Yield
2.4%
P/R Ratio
33.4x
YoY Growth
+1.4%
Median Home Price
$675,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$1,362/mo
Median Income
$151,344
Population
81,119

Investment Breakdown

0
Value Score
64
Growth Score
60
Safety Score
49
Afford Score

Johns Creek has a price-to-rent ratio of 33.4x, which indicates renting is more favorable than buying.

The estimated cap rate of 1.5% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of +1.4% indicates stable market conditions.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $1,362
Annual Gross $16,344

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$844
Insurance (~0.5%) -$281
Maintenance (~1%) -$563
Est. Net Cash Flow -$326/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Johns Creek Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$684K2027$763Kโ–ฒ 11.5%2028$805Kโ–ฒ 17.7%20232024Now
$845K$579K
Current
$675K
2026
Projected
$763K
โ†‘ 11.5% by 2027
Projected
$805K
โ†‘ 17.7% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+8.4%
Confidence:Moderate
Rยฒ:0.85
โ–ผ

Looking ahead to the 2026-2028 period, our Johns Creek housing market forecast suggests a period of stabilization rather than the rapid appreciation seen in prior years. The market has cooled considerably, with a current YoY price change of just 1.4% and a market temperature score of 62/100, pointing toward a more balanced environment. The 43 days on market figure indicates that properties are still moving, but without the urgency that defined the previous boom. This moderation is a natural correction following the impressive 5-year price change of 51.7%, and while some may ask if will Johns Creek home prices drop significantly, the underlying demand from affluent buyers seeking top-tier schools and amenities should prevent a sharp decline, likely leading to flat-to-modest growth instead.

Affordability remains the central challenge and a key factor for Johns Creek real estate Johns Creek 2027. The price-to-rent ratio sits at a steep 37.2x, far above the national average of 18x, which strongly supports the current "RENT" verdict for investors. With a median home price of $684,152 against a median rent of $1,362/mo, the math heavily favors renting from a pure investment standpoint. This affordability ceiling will likely cap price growth, as local buyers must stretch their budgets significantly. However, Johns Creek's strong economic fundamentals, including its reputation for excellent schools and a growing professional class tied to the Atlanta tech and healthcare corridors, provide a solid floor for values. The low-risk grade of "A" further underscores the area's stability.

Ultimately, the outlook for Johns Creek is one of healthy deceleration. While the explosive 8.5% 5-year CAGR is unlikely to continue, the area's desirability and economic resilience should support steady, sustainable gains. Buyers should not expect a market crash, but rather a return to fundamentals where well-priced homes in prime school districts continue to attract interest. For investors, the high price-to-rent ratio makes direct cash flow challenging, suggesting a focus on long-term appreciation rather than immediate returns. The market is transitioning from a frenzied seller's market to a more reasoned, stable environment, which could present strategic opportunities for patient buyers in the coming years.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
1.3%
5yr CAGR
+8.4%

Job Market

Unemployment 3.4%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +2.9%

Healthcare

71
Score
Good

Risk Factors

Overvalued Market

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 97.1%
Months Supply 5.1
Price Drops 25%
Gone in 2 Wks 35%

Market Position

Affordability Average
Safety Average

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Johns Creek.

Total ROI
-132%
on $135,000 invested
Annual ROI
NaN%
compounded
Total Return
-$178,618
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$3,914
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y1150kY2166kY3182kY4198kY5216k
Appreciation
$48,949
Cash Flow
-$227,567
Final Equity
$215,593

* Estimates based on 1.4% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Johns Creek

Property

Purchase Price$675,000
Monthly Rent$1,362
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$3,482
Monthly Cash Flow
-$41,781/ year
-30.9%
Cash-on-Cash
-0.1%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$1,362
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$3,413
โˆ’ Property Tax$675
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$563
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$68
= Net Cash Flow-$3,482

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$135,000
Loan Amount
$540,000
Total Monthly Expenses
$4,844
Gross Yield
2.4%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026