Pasco
Investment Analysis

Pasco, WA
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

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51
Investment Score
Buy
Cap Rate (Est.)
2.8%
Gross Yield
4.6%
P/R Ratio
16.8x
YoY Growth
-0.6%
Median Home Price
$425,460
Average Rent (1BR)
$1,633/mo
Median Income
$84,337
Population
81,415

Investment Breakdown

50
Value Score
44
Growth Score
63
Safety Score
51
Afford Score

Pasco has a price-to-rent ratio of 16.8x, which indicates buying is moderately favorable.

The estimated cap rate of 2.8% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of -0.6% suggests a cooling market.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $1,633
Annual Gross $19,596

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$532
Insurance (~0.5%) -$177
Maintenance (~1%) -$355
Est. Net Cash Flow $569/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Pasco Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$411K2027$442Kโ–ฒ 7.4%2028$455Kโ–ฒ 10.8%20232024Now
$478K$374K
Current
$425K
2026
Projected
$442K
โ†‘ 7.4% by 2027
Projected
$455K
โ†‘ 10.8% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+5.1%
Confidence:Moderate
Rยฒ:0.64
โ–ผ

For those evaluating the Pasco housing market forecast through 2028, the data suggests a period of normalization rather than the rapid appreciation seen in prior years. With a median home price of $411,117 and a recent YoY price change of -0.8%, the market is clearly cooling from its post-pandemic highs. However, long-term fundamentals remain solid, evidenced by a 5-year price change of 30.5%. The question of will Pasco home prices drop significantly is tempered by affordability metrics; the price-to-rent ratio at 18.6x sits only slightly above the national average, suggesting that the rental market provides a stable floor for valuations. While the market temperature of 62/100 indicates a shift toward balance, Pascoโ€™s risk grade of A implies that any downturn will likely be shallow and manageable.

Looking toward Pasco real estate Pasco 2027, the outlook is one of steady, incremental growth driven by local economic fundamentals. The Tri-Cities region continues to benefit from stable employment in agriculture, logistics, and the nearby Hanford site, which supports housing demand despite broader economic headwinds. With Days on Market averaging 43, inventory is moving at a healthy pace, preventing a drastic accumulation of unsold homes that could trigger sharp price declines. While the 5-year CAGR of 5.4% may compress slightly in this forecast window, the neutral buy/rent verdict suggests that market entry remains a viable long-term strategy. Overall, Pasco appears poised for a period of stability, balancing its high growth potential against current affordability constraints, making it a market defined by resilience rather than volatility.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
2.7%
5yr CAGR
+5.1%

Job Market

Unemployment 4.2%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +2.0%

Healthcare

80
Score
Excellent

Risk Factors

Declining Prices

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 99.9%
Months Supply 3.9
Price Drops 22%
Gone in 2 Wks 15%

Market Position

Affordability Below Avg
Safety Average

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Pasco.

Total ROI
-112%
on $85,092 invested
Annual ROI
NaN%
compounded
Total Return
-$95,155
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$1,731
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y189kY292kY396kY4101kY5105k
Appreciation
$0
Cash Flow
-$95,155
Final Equity
$105,038

* Estimates based on 0.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Pasco

Property

Purchase Price$425,460
Monthly Rent$1,633
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$1,505
Monthly Cash Flow
-$18,060/ year
-21.2%
Cash-on-Cash
1.8%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$1,633
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$2,151
โˆ’ Property Tax$425
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$355
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$82
= Net Cash Flow-$1,505

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$85,092
Loan Amount
$340,368
Total Monthly Expenses
$3,138
Gross Yield
4.6%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026