Jonesboro
Investment Analysis

Jonesboro, AR
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

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51
Investment Score
Buy
Cap Rate (Est.)
2.6%
Gross Yield
4.3%
P/R Ratio
19.5x
YoY Growth
+2.0%
Median Home Price
$212,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$767/mo
Median Income
$57,264
Population
80,655

Investment Breakdown

42
Value Score
70
Growth Score
33
Safety Score
64
Afford Score

Jonesboro has a price-to-rent ratio of 19.5x, which indicates buying is moderately favorable.

The estimated cap rate of 2.6% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of +2.0% indicates stable market conditions.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $767
Annual Gross $9,204

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$265
Insurance (~0.5%) -$88
Maintenance (~1%) -$177
Est. Net Cash Flow $237/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Jonesboro Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$218K2027$230Kโ–ฒ 5.6%2028$237Kโ–ฒ 9.0%20232024Now
$249K$198K
Current
$212K
2026
Projected
$230K
โ†‘ 5.6% by 2027
Projected
$237K
โ†‘ 9.0% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+4.9%
Confidence:Moderate
Rยฒ:0.70
โ–ผ

Looking at the Jonesboro housing market forecast for 2026-2028, the data suggests a period of stabilization rather than explosive growth. The current median home price of $217,714 has appreciated at a modest 2.2% year-over-year, a significant cooling from the 27.9% five-year gain that brought us here. With a price-to-rent ratio of 21.3xโ€”well above the national average of 18xโ€”the market is signaling that buying is becoming less financially attractive compared to renting, which is reflected in the "RENT" verdict. The market temperature of 58/100 indicates a balanced, but slightly softening environment.

When asking will Jonesboro home prices drop outright, the answer is likely no, but expect stagnation or minimal growth. The local economy, anchored by Arkansas State University and a robust regional medical center, provides a stable employment floor that prevents drastic corrections. However, affordability challenges will cap price momentum. The 55 days on market indicates homes are sitting longer, giving buyers more negotiating power than theyโ€™ve had in years. For those eyeing Jonesboro real estate Jonesboro 2027, the five-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.0% offers a realistic benchmark, suggesting future appreciation will likely track closer to inflation rather than the double-digit gains of the past.

A balanced assessment for this timeframe acknowledges the Risk Grade: A, which highlights the market's resilience and lower volatility compared to speculative bubbles. While the 5-Year Price Change from $170,239 to $217,714 demonstrates solid equity building, the current metrics point toward a ceiling on prices due to stretched affordability. Investors and buyers should anticipate a market that rewards patience; the days of rapid flipping are waning, replaced by a fundamentals-driven environment where rental demand remains strong due to that high price-to-rent ratio. Jonesboro isn't facing a crash, but rather a necessary return to a more sustainable growth trajectory.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
2.5%
5yr CAGR
+4.9%

Job Market

Unemployment 3.5%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +1.2%

Healthcare

65
Score
Below Avg

Risk Factors

High Crime Area

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 97.1%
Months Supply 4.0
Price Drops 17%
Gone in 2 Wks 11%

Market Position

Affordability Below Avg
Safety Higher Risk

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Jonesboro.

Total ROI
-66%
on $42,400 invested
Annual ROI
-19.5%
compounded
Total Return
-$28,031
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$907
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y148kY255kY361kY468kY575k
Appreciation
$22,295
Cash Flow
-$50,325
Final Equity
$74,634

* Estimates based on 2.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Jonesboro

Property

Purchase Price$212,000
Monthly Rent$767
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$857
Monthly Cash Flow
-$10,284/ year
-24.3%
Cash-on-Cash
1.2%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$767
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$1,072
โˆ’ Property Tax$212
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$177
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$38
= Net Cash Flow-$857

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$42,400
Loan Amount
$169,600
Total Monthly Expenses
$1,624
Gross Yield
4.3%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026