Lakeville
Investment Analysis

Lakeville, MN
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

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46
Investment Score
Rent
Cap Rate (Est.)
1.9%
Gross Yield
3.1%
P/R Ratio
26.4x
YoY Growth
+1.0%
Median Home Price
$458,257
Average Rent (1BR)
$1,201/mo
Median Income
$147,992
Population
76,235

Investment Breakdown

21
Value Score
60
Growth Score
72
Safety Score
46
Afford Score

Lakeville has a price-to-rent ratio of 26.4x, which indicates renting is more favorable than buying.

The estimated cap rate of 1.9% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of +1.0% indicates stable market conditions.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $1,201
Annual Gross $14,412

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$573
Insurance (~0.5%) -$191
Maintenance (~1%) -$382
Est. Net Cash Flow $55/mo

Price Forecast 2026–2028

🔮 Lakeville Price Forecast 20262028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis · Statistical projection
📈 Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$476K2027$492K 3.4%2028$502K 5.5%20232024Now
$527K$434K
Current
$458K
2026
Projected
$492K
3.4% by 2027
Projected
$502K
5.5% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+3.8%
Confidence:Moderate
R²:0.56

Our Lakeville housing market forecast for 2026-2028 anticipates a period of consolidation rather than the rapid appreciation seen in prior years. With a median home price of $475,672 and a price-to-rent ratio of 29.3x, affordability remains a significant headwind, pushing the verdict toward renting. The market temperature of 60/100 indicates a balanced but cooling environment, supported by a modest YoY price change of just 0.6%. While the city’s strong school districts and proximity to the Twin Cities continue to attract families, the eroded purchasing power will likely cap aggressive price growth, keeping the days on market steady around 49 days.

Addressing the question of will Lakeville home prices drop, the data suggests stability over a sharp decline. The risk grade of A and a 5-year CAGR of 4.0% signal a resilient asset class, even if short-term momentum has slowed. However, the 5-year price change of 22.0% has set a high baseline that will be difficult to sustain without stronger income growth. In the context of broader economic conditions, Lakeville’s local economy—anchored by logistics and healthcare—should prevent a correction, but the lack of rental yield pressure suggests investor activity will remain cautious. Looking toward Lakeville real estate Lakeville 2027, we expect a flat-to-modest trajectory where value is found in long-term hold strategies rather than quick flips.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
1.8%
5yr CAGR
+3.8%

Job Market

Unemployment 2.8%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +1.5%

Healthcare

86
Score
Excellent

Risk Factors

Overvalued Market

Market Activity

Source: Redfin · 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 99.2%
Months Supply 4.0
Price Drops 31%
Gone in 2 Wks 26%

Market Position

Affordability Average
Safety Very Safe

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Lakeville.

Total ROI
-124%
on $91,651 invested
Annual ROI
NaN%
compounded
Total Return
-$113,415
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$2,395
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y1100kY2109kY3118kY4127kY5137k
Appreciation
$23,853
Cash Flow
-$137,268
Final Equity
$136,988

* Estimates based on 1.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Lakeville

Property

Purchase Price$458,257
Monthly Rent$1,201
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$2,141
Monthly Cash Flow
-$25,697/ year
-28.0%
Cash-on-Cash
0.5%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$1,201
− Mortgage (P&I)$2,317
− Property Tax$458
− Insurance$125
− Maintenance$382
− Vacancy Loss$60
= Net Cash Flow-$2,141

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$91,651
Loan Amount
$366,606
Total Monthly Expenses
$3,342
Gross Yield
3.1%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026