Queen Creek
Investment Analysis

Queen Creek, AZ
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

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33
Investment Score
Rent
Cap Rate (Est.)
1.7%
Gross Yield
2.8%
P/R Ratio
29.4x
YoY Growth
-1.6%
Median Home Price
$612,490
Average Rent (1BR)
$1,424/mo
Median Income
$135,444
Population
76,046

Investment Breakdown

12
Value Score
34
Growth Score
55
Safety Score
45
Afford Score

Queen Creek has a price-to-rent ratio of 29.4x, which indicates renting is more favorable than buying.

The estimated cap rate of 1.7% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of -1.6% suggests a cooling market.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $1,424
Annual Gross $17,088

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$766
Insurance (~0.5%) -$255
Maintenance (~1%) -$510
Est. Net Cash Flow -$107/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Queen Creek Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$627K2027$671Kโ–ฒ 7.0%2028$689Kโ–ฒ 9.9%20232024Now
$723K$570K
Current
$612K
2026
Projected
$671K
โ†‘ 7.0% by 2027
Projected
$689K
โ†‘ 9.9% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+6.1%
Confidence:Low
Rยฒ:0.35
โ–ผ

For those evaluating the Queen Creek housing market forecast through 2028, the data suggests a period of stabilization rather than rapid acceleration. The current median home price of $626,699 reflects a slight year-over-year decline of -0.9%, signaling a cooling phase after a robust 5-year price change of 37.3%. While the market temperature sits at a moderate 60/100, the high price-to-rent ratio of 32.6x compared to the national average of 18x indicates that buying remains a significant financial stretch relative to leasing. With days on market at 50, the pace is normalizing, suggesting that the frantic competition of previous years is easing.

When asking will Queen Creek home prices drop significantly, the underlying economic fundamentals suggest a floor exists. Queen Creek benefits from continued population growth in the southeast valley and a stable local economy anchored by aerospace, logistics, and agriculture, which supports housing demand despite affordability challenges. However, the "RENT" verdict and elevated price-to-rent ratio suggest that home values may face headwinds if interest rates remain elevated or if income growth fails to keep pace with historical appreciation rates, which have averaged 6.4% annually. Over the next three years, expect inventory levels to gradually increase, providing buyers with more leverage.

In the context of Queen Creek real estate Queen Creek 2027, the outlook is balanced but cautious. The "A" risk grade indicates a strong underlying market, but the current valuation metrics imply that future returns will likely moderate closer to historical norms rather than the boom years. New development in areas like the Eastmark border and ongoing infrastructure improvements will likely sustain interest, but affordability constraints will cap aggressive growth. Ultimately, while a sharp correction is unlikely given the area's desirability and growth trajectory, prospective buyers should anticipate a market where steady appreciation replaces the rapid gains of the past, making it a stable, long-term holding rather than a speculative flip.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
1.6%
5yr CAGR
+6.1%

Job Market

Unemployment 3.8%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +3.2%

Healthcare

75
Score
Good

Risk Factors

Overvalued Market
Declining Prices

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 97.6%
Months Supply 6.3
Price Drops 28%
Gone in 2 Wks 18%

Market Position

Affordability Average
Safety Average

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Queen Creek.

Total ROI
-159%
on $122,498 invested
Annual ROI
NaN%
compounded
Total Return
-$194,764
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$3,373
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y1128kY2133kY3139kY4145kY5151k
Appreciation
$0
Cash Flow
-$194,764
Final Equity
$151,212

* Estimates based on 0.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Queen Creek

Property

Purchase Price$612,490
Monthly Rent$1,424
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$2,992
Monthly Cash Flow
-$35,906/ year
-29.3%
Cash-on-Cash
0.2%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$1,424
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$3,097
โˆ’ Property Tax$612
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$510
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$71
= Net Cash Flow-$2,992

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$122,498
Loan Amount
$489,992
Total Monthly Expenses
$4,416
Gross Yield
2.8%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026