Orange
Investment Analysis

Orange, CA
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

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30
Investment Score
Rent
Cap Rate (Est.)
1.6%
Gross Yield
2.7%
P/R Ratio
32.7x
YoY Growth
-0.1%
Median Home Price
$1,050,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$2,344/mo
Median Income
$117,707
Population
138,332

Investment Breakdown

2
Value Score
49
Growth Score
50
Safety Score
35
Afford Score

Orange has a price-to-rent ratio of 32.7x, which indicates renting is more favorable than buying.

The estimated cap rate of 1.6% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of -0.1% suggests a cooling market.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $2,344
Annual Gross $28,128

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$1,313
Insurance (~0.5%) -$438
Maintenance (~1%) -$875
Est. Net Cash Flow -$281/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Orange Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$1M2027$1Mโ–ฒ 9.2%2028$1Mโ–ฒ 15.0%20232024Now
$1M$869K
Current
$1M
2026
Projected
$1M
โ†‘ 9.2% by 2027
Projected
$1M
โ†‘ 15.0% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+7.1%
Confidence:High
Rยฒ:0.91
โ–ผ

For anyone asking, "will Orange home prices drop," the current data suggests a plateau rather than a sharp correction. With a median price of $1,095,245 and a slight year-over-year decline of -0.3%, the market is showing signs of cooling after a robust 5-year run that saw prices climb 42.4%. However, inventory remains tight, keeping days on market low at 19 days. This Orange housing market forecast for 2026-2028 points toward modest single-digit appreciation as high interest rates and affordability constraints create a ceiling on further gains, though the long-term desirability of the city provides a solid floor.

A key factor tempering price growth is the extreme price-to-rent ratio of 35.6x, which is nearly double the national average. This metric heavily favors renting over buying, influencing the "RENT" verdict for investors and residents alike. While the local economy remains strong, sustained affordability issues could push demand toward more attainable neighboring areas. The market's temperature rating of 69/100 indicates a balanced but slightly leaning seller's market, yet the risk grade of B suggests stability. For Orange real estate in 2027, expect a period of consolidation where price growth aligns more closely with historical norms rather than the pandemic-era surge.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
1.5%
5yr CAGR
+7.1%

Job Market

Unemployment 5.2%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +1.5%

Healthcare

78
Score
Good

Risk Factors

Overvalued Market
Declining Prices

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 98.1%
Months Supply 2.5
Price Drops 14%
Gone in 2 Wks 48%

Market Position

Affordability Average
Safety Average

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Orange.

Total ROI
-162%
on $210,000 invested
Annual ROI
NaN%
compounded
Total Return
-$339,946
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$5,874
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y1219kY2228kY3238kY4248kY5259k
Appreciation
$0
Cash Flow
-$339,946
Final Equity
$259,225

* Estimates based on 0.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Orange

Property

Purchase Price$1,050,000
Monthly Rent$2,344
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$5,133
Monthly Cash Flow
-$61,591/ year
-29.3%
Cash-on-Cash
0.2%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$2,344
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$5,309
โˆ’ Property Tax$1,050
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$875
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$117
= Net Cash Flow-$5,133

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$210,000
Loan Amount
$840,000
Total Monthly Expenses
$7,477
Gross Yield
2.7%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026