Portland
Investment Analysis

Portland, OR
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

Share:
40
Investment Score
Hold
Cap Rate (Est.)
2.6%
Gross Yield
4.3%
P/R Ratio
21.3x
YoY Growth
-1.5%
Median Home Price
$500,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$1,776/mo
Median Income
$86,057
Population
630,395

Investment Breakdown

36
Value Score
35
Growth Score
50
Safety Score
43
Afford Score

Portland has a price-to-rent ratio of 21.3x, which indicates renting and buying are roughly equal.

The estimated cap rate of 2.6% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of -1.5% suggests a cooling market.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $1,776
Annual Gross $21,312

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$625
Insurance (~0.5%) -$208
Maintenance (~1%) -$417
Est. Net Cash Flow $526/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Portland Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
โžก๏ธ Stable
PROJECTEDNOW$518K2027$516Kโ–ผ 0.4%2028$513Kโ–ผ 0.9%20232024Now
$552K$486K
Current
$500K
2026
Projected
$516K
โ†“ 0.4% by 2027
Projected
$513K
โ†“ 0.9% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+1.2%
Confidence:Low
Rยฒ:0.05
โ–ผ

For anyone asking "will Portland home prices drop," the current data suggests a period of stabilization rather than a steep correction. The median home price sits at $517,821 with a slight year-over-year decline of -1.4%, indicating a cooling but not collapsing market. The price-to-rent ratio of 22.7x remains well above the national average of 18x, signaling that buying is still a significant premium over renting. This affordability squeeze, combined with a market temperature of 62/100 and a "RENT" verdict from analysts, points to a balanced but cautious environment where demand is tempered by high borrowing costs and local economic headwinds.

Looking ahead to the Portland housing market forecast through 2026-2028, expect modest appreciation anchored by the regionโ€™s steady tech and healthcare sectors. While Portland real estate faces affordability challenges, its "A" risk grade and resilient job market provide a floor for prices. The 5-year price change of 7.7% (a 1.5% CAGR) reflects a slower, more sustainable trajectory compared to the pandemic boom. Key local factors like ongoing urban revitalization efforts and inbound migration from higher-cost states could provide support, though inventory levels and days on market (currently 42) will be critical to watch. For Portland real estate Portland 2027, the outlook is one of single-digit growth, driven by fundamentals rather than speculation.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
2.6%
5yr CAGR
+1.2%

Job Market

Unemployment 4.0%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +1.8%

Healthcare

79
Score
Good

Risk Factors

Declining Prices

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 98.6%
Months Supply 4.3
Price Drops 34%
Gone in 2 Wks 35%

Market Position

Affordability Average
Safety Average

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Portland.

Total ROI
-121%
on $100,000 invested
Annual ROI
NaN%
compounded
Total Return
-$120,746
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$2,171
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y1104kY2108kY3113kY4118kY5123k
Appreciation
$0
Cash Flow
-$120,746
Final Equity
$123,441

* Estimates based on 0.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Portland

Property

Purchase Price$500,000
Monthly Rent$1,776
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$1,883
Monthly Cash Flow
-$22,593/ year
-22.6%
Cash-on-Cash
1.5%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$1,776
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$2,528
โˆ’ Property Tax$500
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$417
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$89
= Net Cash Flow-$1,883

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$100,000
Loan Amount
$400,000
Total Monthly Expenses
$3,659
Gross Yield
4.3%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026