Roseville
Investment Analysis

Roseville, CA
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

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41
Investment Score
Rent
Cap Rate (Est.)
1.9%
Gross Yield
3.2%
P/R Ratio
25.5x
YoY Growth
-1.2%
Median Home Price
$625,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$1,666/mo
Median Income
$107,888
Population
159,126

Investment Breakdown

24
Value Score
38
Growth Score
77
Safety Score
41
Afford Score

Roseville has a price-to-rent ratio of 25.5x, which indicates renting is more favorable than buying.

The estimated cap rate of 1.9% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of -1.2% suggests a cooling market.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $1,666
Annual Gross $19,992

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$781
Insurance (~0.5%) -$260
Maintenance (~1%) -$521
Est. Net Cash Flow $104/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Roseville Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$632K2027$653Kโ–ฒ 3.3%2028$661Kโ–ฒ 4.7%20232024Now
$694K$577K
Current
$625K
2026
Projected
$653K
โ†‘ 3.3% by 2027
Projected
$661K
โ†‘ 4.7% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+3.5%
Confidence:Low
Rยฒ:0.19
โ–ผ

Looking at the Roseville housing market forecast for 2026-2028, the data suggests a period of recalibration rather than a sharp correction. The current median home price of $631,600 has already seen a slight YoY decline of -1.3%, signaling a cooling trend after years of rapid appreciation. While the 5-year CAGR of 3.8% indicates solid historical growth, the high price-to-rent ratio of 28.2xโ€”well above the national averageโ€”points to stretched affordability that will likely cap future gains. Given the market's "warm" temperature score of 66/100 and an A- risk grade, I anticipate a flattening trajectory where prices stabilize rather than plummet, supported by Roseville's strong local economy and its role as a key suburban hub in the greater Sacramento region.

For those asking "will Roseville home prices drop," the outlook is nuanced. The 30 days on market and a 5-year price range of $522,446 to $673,659 suggest continued resilience, but the "RENT" verdict highlights that buying may not be the most financially prudent move in the immediate term. Local factors such as ongoing job growth in healthcare and tech, coupled with steady in-migration from the Bay Area, will provide a floor for prices. However, rising insurance costs and property taxes in Placer County could pressure affordability further. As we move toward Roseville real estate 2027, the market will likely favor patient buyers, with price growth moderating to align more closely with income levels and rental fundamentals, making it a stable but not explosive environment.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
1.9%
5yr CAGR
+3.5%

Job Market

Unemployment 5.2%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +1.5%

Healthcare

78
Score
Good

Risk Factors

Overvalued Market
Declining Prices

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 98.7%
Months Supply 2.1
Price Drops 23%
Gone in 2 Wks 28%

Market Position

Affordability Average
Safety Very Safe

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Roseville.

Total ROI
-148%
on $125,000 invested
Annual ROI
NaN%
compounded
Total Return
-$185,469
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$3,239
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y1130kY2136kY3141kY4148kY5154k
Appreciation
$0
Cash Flow
-$185,469
Final Equity
$154,301

* Estimates based on 0.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Roseville

Property

Purchase Price$625,000
Monthly Rent$1,666
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$2,848
Monthly Cash Flow
-$34,182/ year
-27.3%
Cash-on-Cash
0.6%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$1,666
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$3,160
โˆ’ Property Tax$625
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$521
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$83
= Net Cash Flow-$2,848

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$125,000
Loan Amount
$500,000
Total Monthly Expenses
$4,514
Gross Yield
3.2%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026